Sport Picks
MSK Puchov vs Z. Moravce-Vrable
Slovakia
2. liga 2025/2026 Mestský štadión Púchov, Púchov 
Match Events
15'
15'
Martinek N.
35'
35'
Vavrik T.
42'
42'
Balaj F.
AI Match Summary
MSK Puchov in this 2. liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored MSK Puchov.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- MSK Puchov haven't matched Z. Moravce-Vrable's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on MSK Puchov taking it.
- Regular 2. liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
MSK Puchov Clean Sheet 20%
Z. Moravce-Vrable Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | MSK Puchov | Z. Moravce-Vrable |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 2. liga
MSK Puchov vs Z. Moravce-Vrable
1:0
Oct 17, 2025 2. liga
Z. Moravce-Vrable vs MSK Puchov
2:1
May 9, 2025 2. liga
Z. Moravce-Vrable vs MSK Puchov
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 2. liga
MSK Puchov vs Z. Moravce-Vrable
0:1
Mar 1, 2022 Slovak Cup
Z. Moravce-Vrable vs MSK Puchov
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
MSK Puchov Compare
Top Goalscorer Vavrik T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Z. Moravce-Vrable Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
MSK Puchov 58 / 100
Z. Moravce-Vrable 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
MSK Puchov Z. Moravce-Vrable
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MSK Puchov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
MSK Puchov scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Z. Moravce-Vrable's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
MSK Puchov went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
MSK Puchov VS Z. Moravce-Vrable
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
MSK Puchov
(Home) 26 Sept
MSK Puchov
5 : 0 MSK Senec
19 Sept
Gabcikovo
1 : 1 MSK Puchov
12 Sept
MSK Puchov
2 : 0 Belusa
06 Sept
Trencin B
0 : 3 MSK Puchov
02 Sept
MSK Puchov
1 : 3 Spartak Trnava
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
MSK Puchov
5 : 0 MSK Senec
12 Sept
MSK Puchov
2 : 0 Belusa
02 Sept
MSK Puchov
1 : 3 Spartak Trnava
29 Aug
MSK Puchov
0 : 1 Nove Zamky
15 Aug
MSK Puchov
2 : 2 Myjava
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Z. Moravce-Vrable
(Away) 26 Sept
Z. Moravce-Vrable
0 : 2 Petrzalka
18 Sept
L. Mikulas
0 : 0 Z. Moravce-Vrable
14 Sept
Z. Moravce-Vrable
4 : 0 Zvolen
09 Sept
Nova Bana
1 : 2 Z. Moravce-Vrable
05 Sept
Presov
0 : 1 Z. Moravce-Vrable
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
L. Mikulas
0 : 0 Z. Moravce-Vrable
09 Sept
Nova Bana
1 : 2 Z. Moravce-Vrable
05 Sept
Presov
0 : 1 Z. Moravce-Vrable
26 Aug
Priechod
0 : 2 Z. Moravce-Vrable
22 Aug
Bytca
2 : 1 Z. Moravce-Vrable
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Banska Bystrica | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 61:25 | 66 |
| 2 | Zvolen | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 46:36 | 49 |
| 3 | L. Mikulas | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 55:47 | 48 |
| 4 | Petrzalka | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:31 | 48 |
| 5 | Malzenice | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 44:38 | 47 |
| 6 | FK Pohronie | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 47:35 | 44 |
| 7 | Z. Moravce-Vrable | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 57:49 | 44 |
| 8 | Inter Bratislava | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 35:36 | 42 |
| 9 | Slovan Bratislava B | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:48 | 40 |
| 10 | Samorin | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 44:46 | 38 |
| 11 | Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 41:52 | 35 |
| 12 | Povazska Bystrica | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 38:49 | 33 |
| 13 | Zilina B | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 43:59 | 33 |
| 14 | Slavia Kosice | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 38:54 | 32 |
| 15 | MSK Puchov | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 33:50 | 29 |
| 16 | Stara Lubovna | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 35:52 | 26 |
Promotion - Nike liga (Main)
Promotion - 2. liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
