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MSV Dusseldorf vs Friesdorf

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Lee J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between MSV Dusseldorf and Friesdorf finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Friesdorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
MSV Dusseldorf
6%
Draws
4%
Friesdorf
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: MSV Dusseldorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Friesdorf carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans MSV Dusseldorf's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
MSV Dusseldorf Clean Sheet 15%
Friesdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MSV Dusseldorf Friesdorf
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2023 Club Friendly
MSV Dusseldorf vs Friesdorf
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MSV Dusseldorf 84 / 100
Friesdorf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MSV Dusseldorf Friesdorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MSV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MSV Dusseldorf found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Friesdorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

Friesdorf lost 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

MSV Dusseldorf VS Friesdorf
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%