Sport Picks

Mtarfa vs Xaghra Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta

FA Trophy 2016/2017

Mtarfa

0 - 7

Xaghra

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-7, with Xaghra advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Mtarfa

15%

Draws

85%

Xaghra

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Xaghra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Xaghra come out ahead of Mtarfa on wins alone.
Win probability leans Xaghra's way, sitting at 50%.
Xaghra arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Xaghra, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 89%

Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 37%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%

Mtarfa Clean Sheet 10%

Xaghra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mtarfa	Xaghra
Matches Played	31	19
Wins	5	6
Draws	2	0
Losses	24	13
Goals Scored	0.68	1.74
Goals Conceded	3.65	3
Expected Goals (xG)	2.19	2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2016 FA Trophy

Mtarfa vs Xaghra

0:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mtarfa 22 / 100

Xaghra 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mtarfa Xaghra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xaghra Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xaghra let in goals in 84% of their last 19 matches.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Xaghra registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mtarfa scored in 35% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Mtarfa VS Xaghra

0.88 Goals Scored 1.5

3.38 Goals Conceded 3.5

100% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 100%

63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Mtarfa

(Home)

19 Apr

Mtarfa

1 : 5

Santa Lucia

11 Apr

Marsa

5 : 0

Mtarfa

01 Apr

Mtarfa

0 : 1

Vittoriosa

15 Mar

Gudja

3 : 0

Mtarfa

07 Mar

Mtarfa

0 : 2

Zurrieq

Page 1 of 7

Xaghra

(Away)

18 Mar

Victoria Wanderers

4 : 2

Xaghra

07 Dec

Victoria Hotspurs

3 : 1

Xaghra

10 Jan

Xaghra

1 : 5

Victoria Hotspurs

13 Dec

Msida

5 : 1

Xaghra

03 Mar

Xaghra

0 : 6

Hamrun

Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Victoria Wanderers -

TBD -

St. Venera -

TBD -

Melita -

Zabbar -

TBD -

Mgarr -

Birkirkara -

TBD -

St. Andrews -

Marsa -

TBD -

Santa Lucia -

TBD -

Kercem Ajax -

Qormi -

TBD -

Qala Saints -

TBD -

Xewkija -

Sirens -

TBD -

Rabat Ajax -

TBD -

Pembroke -

Hamrun -

TBD -

Ghaxaq -

TBD -

Gharb 2

Xghajra 1

TBD -

Nadur -

Siggiewi -

TBD -

St. George's FC -

Msida -

TBD -

Luqa -

TBD -

Mqabba FC -

Ghajnsielem -

TBD -

Kalkara -

TBD -

Naxxar Lions -

Zejtun -

TBD -

Mdina -

TBD -

Victoria Hotspurs -

Birzebbuga -

TBD -

Mellieha -

TBD -

Floriana -

Tarxien -

TBD -

Munxar -

TBD -

Xbiex -

TBD -

Gharghur -

Pieta -

TBD -

Marsaskala FC -

TBD -

Kirkop -

St. Lawrence -

TBD -

Zurrieq -

TBD -

Lija -

Valletta -

TBD -

Marsaxlokk -

TBD -

San Gwann -

Zebbug -

TBD -

Fgura -

TBD -

Balzan FC -

Senglea -

TBD -

Mtarfa -

TBD -

Xaghra -

TBD -

Hibernians -

Gzira -

TBD -

Attard -

TBD -

Vittoriosa -

Qrendi -

TBD -

Dingli Swallows -

TBD -

Oratory -

Gudja -

TBD -

Swieqi -

Mosta FC -

TBD -

Sliema -

1/64-finals

Victoria Wanderers 3

St. Venera 0

TBD -

Melita -

Zabbar -

TBD -

Mgarr -

Birkirkara -

TBD -

St. Andrews -

Marsa -

TBD -

Santa Lucia 0

Kercem Ajax 3

Qormi -

TBD -

Qala Saints 0

Xewkija 6

Sirens -

TBD -

Rabat Ajax -

TBD -

Pembroke -

Hamrun -

TBD -

Ghaxaq -

TBD -

Gharb 1

Nadur 7

Siggiewi -

TBD -

St. George's FC -

Msida 1

Luqa 0

TBD -

Mqabba FC -

Ghajnsielem 3

Kalkara 2

TBD -

Naxxar Lions -

Zejtun -

TBD -

Mdina 1

Victoria Hotspurs 5

Birzebbuga -

TBD -

Mellieha -

TBD -

Floriana -

Tarxien -

TBD -

Munxar 2

Xbiex 0

TBD -

Gharghur -

Pieta -

TBD -

Marsaskala FC 0

Kirkop 4

St. Lawrence 3

Zurrieq 0

TBD -

Lija -

Valletta -

TBD -

Marsaxlokk -

TBD -

San Gwann -

Zebbug -

TBD -

Fgura -

TBD -

Balzan FC -

Senglea -

TBD -

Mtarfa 0

Xaghra 7

TBD -

Hibernians -

Gzira -

TBD -

Attard -

TBD -

Vittoriosa -

Qrendi -

TBD -

Dingli Swallows 0

Oratory 5

Gudja -

TBD -

Swieqi -

Mosta FC -

TBD -

Sliema -

1/32-finals

Victoria Wanderers 2

Melita 1

Zabbar 1

Mgarr 2

Birkirkara -

TBD -

St. Andrews -

Marsa 4

Kercem Ajax 3

Qormi 1

Xewkija 4

Sirens 2

Rabat Ajax 1

TBD -

Pembroke -

Hamrun -

TBD -

Ghaxaq 0

Nadur 4

Siggiewi 3

St. George's FC 2

Msida 0

Mqabba FC 1

Ghajnsielem 4

Naxxar Lions 1

Zejtun 1

Victoria Hotspurs 2

Birzebbuga 3

Mellieha 2

TBD -

Floriana -

Tarxien -

TBD -

Munxar 0

Gharghur 8

Pieta 1

Kirkop 0

St. Lawrence 0

Lija 5

Valletta -

TBD -

Marsaxlokk 0

San Gwann 4

Zebbug 2

Fgura 0

TBD -

Balzan FC -

Senglea 7

Xaghra 1

TBD -

Hibernians -

Gzira -

TBD -

Attard 1

Vittoriosa 5

Qrendi 2

Oratory 1

Gudja 0

Swieqi 3

Mosta FC -

TBD -

Sliema -

1/16-finals

Victoria Wanderers 5

Mgarr 0

Birkirkara 0

St. Andrews 3

Marsa 3

Xewkija 2

Sirens 1

Pembroke 2

Hamrun 2

Nadur 0

Siggiewi 0

Mqabba FC 2

Ghajnsielem 3

Victoria Hotspurs 2

Birzebbuga 0

Floriana 5

Tarxien 6

Gharghur 0

Pieta 0

Lija 2

Valletta 1

San Gwann 0

Zebbug 1

Balzan FC 3

Senglea 3

Hibernians 2

Gzira 2

Vittoriosa 3

Qrendi 1

Swieqi 0

Mosta FC 2

Sliema 3

1/8-finals

Victoria Wanderers 1

St. Andrews 0

Marsa 1

Pembroke 2

Hamrun 1

Mqabba FC 0

Ghajnsielem 1

Floriana 4

Tarxien 3

Lija 0

Valletta 0

Balzan FC 1

Senglea 2

Vittoriosa 1

Qrendi 0

Sliema 5

Quarter-finals

Victoria Wanderers 2

Pembroke 0

Hamrun 0

Floriana 2

Tarxien 2

Balzan FC 1

Senglea 0

Sliema 1

Semi-finals

Victoria Wanderers 1

Floriana 3

Tarxien 0

Sliema 3

Final

Floriana 2

Sliema 0

Mtarfa vs Xaghra Prediction & H2H Stats

Malta

Mtarfa

Xaghra

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Mtarfa

Xaghra

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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