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Mthatha Bucks vs Jomo Cosmos

South Africa South Africa

First Division 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mthatha Bucks play Jomo Cosmos in the First Division 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mthatha Bucks averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Jomo Cosmos averaged 1 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. In past meetings, Mthatha Bucks won 0, Jomo Cosmos won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 21, 2018 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Mthatha Bucks and 1.18 for Jomo Cosmos. This points to a Jomo Cosmos double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mthatha Bucks
32%
Draws
45%
Jomo Cosmos
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Jomo Cosmos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Mthatha Bucks picked up more points recently compared to Jomo Cosmos.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Mthatha Bucks Clean Sheet 20%
Jomo Cosmos Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mthatha Bucks Jomo Cosmos
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 7
Draws 9 13
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.09

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2018 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Mthatha Bucks vs Jomo Cosmos
0:3
Dec 17, 2017 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Jomo Cosmos vs Mthatha Bucks
2:1
Feb 11, 2017 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Mthatha Bucks vs Jomo Cosmos
0:0
Sep 25, 2016 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Jomo Cosmos vs Mthatha Bucks
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mthatha Bucks Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Jomo Cosmos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gebhardt A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zungu N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mthatha Bucks 25 / 100
Jomo Cosmos 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mthatha Bucks Jomo Cosmos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jomo Cosmos or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mthatha Bucks attacking → ← attacking Jomo Cosmos

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mthatha Bucks scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Jomo Cosmos let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Mthatha Bucks went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Jomo Cosmos lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 34
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Highlands30216365:1369
2Black Leopards30148842:2150
3Jomo Cosmos30147946:3549
4Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila301112734:2545
5Witbank301112735:3045
6Marumo Gallants301181132:4441
7Cape Town All Stars30913829:2640
8Stellenbosch FC3010101029:3640
9Royal Eagles FC308121040:4136
10Pretoria U.30991235:4636
11Uthongathi307131021:2534
12Richards Bay308101227:4034
13Mbombela301061428:4033
14Ubuntu Cape Town FC307111231:3832
15Super Eagles307111226:4032
16Mthatha Bucks304101627:4722