Sport Picks
Mtibwa Sugar vs Young Africans
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Jamhuri Stadium, Dodoma 
Match Events
24'
24'
Zouzoua P.
Assist: Mwanengo E.
25'
25'
Sub
Malimi C. In: Kutisha T.
Out: Malimi C.
46'
46'
Sub
Simchimba A. In: Mhesa I.
Out: Simchimba A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Young Africans
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Mtibwa Sugar haven't matched Young Africans's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Young Africans's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Young Africans have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Mtibwa Sugar Clean Sheet 10%
Young Africans Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mtibwa Sugar | Young Africans |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 6 | 27 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 2.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 0.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.45 | 2.39 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mtibwa Sugar vs Young Africans
1:1
Oct 28, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Mtibwa Sugar
2:0
May 13, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mtibwa Sugar vs Young Africans
1:3
Dec 16, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Mtibwa Sugar
4:1
Dec 31, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mtibwa Sugar vs Young Africans
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mtibwa Sugar Compare
Top Goalscorer Mhesa I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.23
Young Africans Compare
Top Goalscorer Zouzoua P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.17
Avg xA / game 1.33
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mtibwa Sugar 10 / 100
Young Africans 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mtibwa Sugar Young Africans
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Young Africans Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:2
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Mtibwa Sugar's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Young Africans conceded in 29% of 34 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Mtibwa Sugar VS Young Africans
0.4 Goals Scored 2.38
2.4 Goals Conceded 0.5
80% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Mtibwa Sugar
(Home) 30 Jun
Namungo
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
27 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
24 Jun
Mtibwa Sugar
0 : 3 Simba
18 Jun
Pamba
4 : 0 Mtibwa Sugar
13 Jun
Mbeya City
1 : 0 Mtibwa Sugar
Page 1 of 6
24 Jun
Mtibwa Sugar
0 : 3 Simba
24 May
Mtibwa Sugar
2 : 2 JKT Tanzania
14 May
Mtibwa Sugar
4 : 3 Kinondoni MC
06 May
Mtibwa Sugar
0 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
02 May
Mtibwa Sugar
0 : 3 Azam
Page 1 of 3
Young Africans
(Away) 12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1 Gaborone Utd
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1 Young Africans
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Young Africans
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0 Pamba
24 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 0 JKT Tanzania
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1 Young Africans
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Young Africans
15 Aug
Namungo
1 : 3 Young Africans
12 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Young Africans
30 Jun
JKT Tanzania
0 : 3 Young Africans
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
