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MTK Budapest II vs Budafoki MTE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Molnar P.
28' Event
Vas M.
32' Event
Varga D.

AI Match Summary

MTK Budapest II in this NB III - Southwest matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored MTK Budapest II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
MTK Budapest II
15%
Draws
37%
Budafoki MTE
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MTK Budapest II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to MTK Budapest II lately — more wins on the board than Budafoki MTE.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
MTK Budapest II Clean Sheet 10%
Budafoki MTE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest II Budafoki MTE
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Budafoki MTE
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MTK Budapest II Compare

Top Goalscorer Molnar P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Budafoki MTE Compare

Top Goalscorer Nemeth M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pekar L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest II 29 / 100
Budafoki MTE 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest II Budafoki MTE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MTK Budapest II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

MTK Budapest II's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Budafoki MTE conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

MTK Budapest II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest II VS Budafoki MTE
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest II

(Home)
11 Oct
MTK Budapest II
3 : 1
Erdi
03 Oct
Ferencvaros II
2 : 0
MTK Budapest II
19 Sept
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
MTK Budapest II
06 Sept
MTK Budapest II
4 : 2
Dunaharaszti MTK
29 Aug
Paks II
2 : 4
MTK Budapest II
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Budafoki MTE

(Away)
10 Oct
Budafoki MTE
3 : 3
Majosi
03 Oct
Pecsi MFC
2 : 1
Budafoki MTE
26 Sept
Budafoki MTE
2 : 4
Dunaharaszti MTK
19 Sept
Paks II
1 : 2
Budafoki MTE
29 Aug
Budaorsi SC
1 : 3
Budafoki MTE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 10 9 1 0 30:4 28
2 Kaposvar 10 6 1 3 24:14 19
3 Ferencvaros II 10 5 3 2 23:14 18
4 Budafoki MTE 10 5 2 3 20:15 17
5 Dunaharaszti MTK 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
6 PTE-PEAC 10 4 4 2 16:13 16
7 MTK Budapest II 9 5 0 4 24:15 15
8 Ivancsa 10 5 0 5 21:21 15
9 Majosi 10 4 3 3 21:21 15
10 Siofok 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
11 Erdi 10 3 3 4 22:24 12
12 Budaorsi SC 10 3 3 4 17:27 12
13 Paks II 11 1 4 6 20:24 7
14 Sarbogard 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
15 Szekszardi 10 0 0 10 5:42 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)