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MTK Budapest II vs Fonix Gold

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MTK Budapest II play Fonix Gold in the NB III - Southwest 2024/2025. MTK Budapest II are favorites here. Recently, MTK Budapest II averaged 2.42 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Fonix Gold averaged 1.13 goals scored and 3.13 conceded. In past meetings, MTK Budapest II won 1, Fonix Gold won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 18, 2025 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for MTK Budapest II and 1.31 for Fonix Gold. This points to a MTK Budapest II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
MTK Budapest II
15%
Draws
19%
Fonix Gold
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MTK Budapest II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • MTK Budapest II picked up more points recently compared to Fonix Gold.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
MTK Budapest II Clean Sheet 18%
Fonix Gold Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest II Fonix Gold
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 21 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 2.42 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.26 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2025 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Fonix Gold
4:3
Nov 3, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Fonix Gold vs MTK Budapest II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MTK Budapest II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenesei N.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Fonix Gold Compare

Top Goalscorer Papai K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zsombor S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest II 63 / 100
Fonix Gold 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest II Fonix Gold

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MTK Budapest II Win (1)
Secondary Pick MTK Budapest II & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

MTK Budapest II attacking → ← attacking Fonix Gold

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MTK Budapest II scored in 84% of their last 38 games.

Fonix Gold let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

MTK Budapest II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fonix Gold lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 21
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nagykanizsa FC30235273:2474
2Ivancsa30215494:2668
3Ferencvaros II301712167:3163
4Kaposvar30188478:3362
5Pecsi MFC30186666:2960
6Siofok301510556:3255
7Paks II301261251:4642
8Majosi301171240:4540
9MTK Budapest II301151458:5738
10Dunaharaszti MTK301081247:4538
11Bonyhad301051538:5535
12Szekszardi30671730:5425
13PTE-PEAC30632127:7021
14Fonix Gold30632136:9021
15Gardony Varosi30561934:7121
16Dunafoldvar30142522:1097