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MTK Budapest II vs Fonix Gold Prediction & H2H Stats

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kenesei N.
13' Event
Kenesei N.
21' Event
Papai K.

AI Match Summary

The NB III - Southwest 2024/2025 game between MTK Budapest II and Fonix Gold finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MTK Budapest II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
MTK Budapest II
15%
Draws
0%
Fonix Gold
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MTK Budapest II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • MTK Budapest II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • MTK Budapest II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
MTK Budapest II Clean Sheet 20%
Fonix Gold Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest II Fonix Gold
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 2.18 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.27 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2025 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Fonix Gold
4:3
Nov 3, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Fonix Gold vs MTK Budapest II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MTK Budapest II Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenesei N.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Fonix Gold Compare

Top Goalscorer Papai K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zsombor S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest II 85 / 100
Fonix Gold 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest II Fonix Gold

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MTK Budapest II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fonix Gold conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Fonix Gold's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

MTK Budapest II scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest II VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest II

(Home)
19 Sept
Pecsi MFC
3 : 0
MTK Budapest II
06 Sept
MTK Budapest II
4 : 2
Dunaharaszti MTK
29 Aug
Paks II
2 : 4
MTK Budapest II
15 Aug
Budaorsi SC
1 : 0
MTK Budapest II
12 Aug
Siofok
2 : 1
MTK Budapest II
Page 1 of 7

Fonix Gold

(Away)
02 Aug
Fonix Gold
1 : 8
Siofok
25 May
Fonix Gold
0 : 1
Gardony Varosi
18 May
MTK Budapest II
4 : 3
Fonix Gold
11 May
Fonix Gold
0 : 2
Ivancsa
04 May
Nagykanizsa FC
7 : 0
Fonix Gold
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nagykanizsa FC 30 23 5 2 73:24 74
2 Ivancsa 30 21 5 4 94:26 68
3 Ferencvaros II 30 17 12 1 67:31 63
4 Kaposvar 30 18 8 4 78:33 62
5 Pecsi MFC 30 18 6 6 66:29 60
6 Siofok 30 15 10 5 56:32 55
7 Paks II 30 12 6 12 51:46 42
8 Majosi 30 11 7 12 40:45 40
9 MTK Budapest II 30 11 5 14 58:57 38
10 Dunaharaszti MTK 30 10 8 12 47:45 38
11 Bonyhad 30 10 5 15 38:55 35
12 Szekszardi 30 6 7 17 30:54 25
13 PTE-PEAC 30 6 3 21 27:70 21
14 Fonix Gold 30 6 3 21 36:90 21
15 Gardony Varosi 30 5 6 19 34:71 21
16 Dunafoldvar 30 1 4 25 22:109 7
Promotion - NB III - Promotion Play Offs 2024/2025 (Main)