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MTK Budapest II vs Sarbogard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Vas M.
26' Event
Kiss P. M.
41' Event
Vas M.

AI Match Summary

MTK Budapest II in this NB III - Southwest matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored MTK Budapest II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
MTK Budapest II
15%
Draws
12%
Sarbogard
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MTK Budapest II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to MTK Budapest II lately — more wins on the board than Sarbogard.
  • Win probability leans MTK Budapest II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
MTK Budapest II Clean Sheet 12%
Sarbogard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest II Sarbogard
Matches Played 29 23
Wins 14 4
Draws 3 2
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.93 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.74
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 NB III - Southwest
MTK Budapest II vs Sarbogard
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MTK Budapest II Compare

Top Goalscorer Vas M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Sarbogard Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiss P. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest II 83 / 100
Sarbogard 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest II Sarbogard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MTK Budapest II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarbogard's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 23 matches.

MTK Budapest II's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Sarbogard registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest II VS Sarbogard
2.25 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest II

(Home)
31 Oct
MTK Budapest II
2 : 1
Sarbogard
24 Oct
MTK Budapest II
3 : 4
Kaposvar
17 Oct
Ivancsa
5 : 2
MTK Budapest II
11 Oct
MTK Budapest II
3 : 1
Erdi
03 Oct
Ferencvaros II
2 : 0
MTK Budapest II
Page 1 of 6

Sarbogard

(Away)
31 Oct
MTK Budapest II
2 : 1
Sarbogard
24 Oct
Sarbogard
0 : 6
Paks II
17 Oct
Kaposvar
7 : 0
Sarbogard
03 Oct
Ivancsa
4 : 1
Sarbogard
26 Sept
Sarbogard
1 : 1
Budaorsi SC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pecsi MFC 13 12 1 0 40:4 37
2 Kaposvar 13 9 1 3 37:17 28
3 Ivancsa 13 8 0 5 31:24 24
4 Ferencvaros II 13 7 3 3 32:18 24
5 Majosi 13 7 3 3 30:27 24
6 Dunaharaszti MTK 13 6 2 5 24:22 20
7 Erdi 13 5 4 4 29:28 19
8 MTK Budapest II 12 6 0 6 31:25 18
9 Budafoki MTE 13 5 3 5 24:22 18
10 Siofok 13 5 2 6 22:18 17
11 PTE-PEAC 13 4 4 5 17:21 16
12 Paks II 13 3 4 6 28:24 13
13 Budaorsi SC 13 3 3 7 20:40 12
14 Sarbogard 13 1 2 10 10:39 5
15 Szekszardi 13 0 0 13 6:52 0
Promotion - NB III - Northeast (Promotion - Play Offs)