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MTK Budapest vs Gyor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, Budapest
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Bumba C.
46'
Sub
Bumba C. In: Ricardo E.
Out: Bumba C.
46'
Sub
Zubor A. In: Bognar I.
Out: Zubor A.

AI Match Summary

The NB I. game between MTK Budapest and Gyor finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gyor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
MTK Budapest
15%
Draws
46%
Gyor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gyor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • MTK Budapest haven't matched Gyor's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gyor a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NB I. form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gyor have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 11%
Gyor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest Gyor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.72 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Gyor
1:2
Mar 13, 2026 NB I.
Gyor vs MTK Budapest
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 NB I.
Gyor vs MTK Budapest
3:0
Aug 17, 2025 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Gyor
2:7
Mar 29, 2025 NB I.
Gyor vs MTK Budapest
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Bognar I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gyor Compare

Top Goalscorer Szep M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agba P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest 27 / 100
Gyor 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest Gyor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gyor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: MTK Budapest scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Gyor conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

MTK Budapest has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest VS Gyor
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest

(Home)
31 Oct
Zalaegerszegi
3 : 0
MTK Budapest
28 Oct
Monori
1 : 5
MTK Budapest
25 Oct
Ferencvaros
5 : 0
MTK Budapest
16 Oct
MTK Budapest
1 : 0
Vasas
10 Oct
Paks
3 : 0
MTK Budapest
Page 1 of 6

Gyor

(Away)
31 Oct
Gyor
2 : 2
Vasas
28 Oct
Zalaegerszegi
3 : 1
Gyor
24 Oct
Gyor
1 : 0
Ujpest
17 Oct
Paks
1 : 2
Gyor
11 Oct
Gyor
0 : 1
Puskas Academy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gyor 12 6 4 2 21:14 22
2 Puskas Academy 12 7 0 5 17:15 21
3 Ferencvaros 11 5 5 1 20:10 20
4 Debrecen 12 5 4 3 21:17 19
5 Ujpest 12 5 3 4 20:17 18
6 Paks 12 5 2 5 22:21 17
7 Vasas 12 4 4 4 20:17 16
8 Zalaegerszegi 12 4 1 7 16:22 13
9 Honved 11 3 4 4 14:17 13
10 MTK Budapest 12 3 3 6 16:25 12
11 Kisvarda FC 12 2 6 4 12:14 12
12 Nyiregyhaza 12 3 2 7 13:23 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)