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MTK Budapest vs Kazincbarcika Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Jurek G.
29' Event
Jurek G.
34' Event
Szoke G.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between MTK Budapest and Kazincbarcika finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MTK Budapest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
MTK Budapest
30%
Draws
29%
Kazincbarcika
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: MTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • MTK Budapest's 1.72 goals per match outpaces what Kazincbarcika have produced (1.14).
  • MTK Budapest are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 15%
Kazincbarcika Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest Kazincbarcika
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.72 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Kazincbarcika
4:2
Apr 24, 2026 NB I.
Kazincbarcika vs MTK Budapest
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Kazincbarcika
1:3
Oct 3, 2025 NB I.
Kazincbarcika vs MTK Budapest
3:1
Jul 22, 2023 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Kazincbarcika
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurek G.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kazincbarcika Compare

Top Goalscorer Szoke G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ikoba E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest 48 / 100
Kazincbarcika 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest Kazincbarcika

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MTK Budapest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: MTK Budapest scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Kazincbarcika conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: MTK Budapest remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest VS Kazincbarcika
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest

(Home)
20 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Gyor
12 Sept
Mezokovesd-Zsory
0 : 2
MTK Budapest
05 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Kisvarda FC
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2
MTK Budapest
22 Aug
MTK Budapest
2 : 1
Nyiregyhaza
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Kazincbarcika

(Away)
19 Sept
Mezokovesd-Zsory
4 : 1
Kazincbarcika
12 Sept
Kazincbarcika
1 : 2
Paks
05 Sept
Kazincbarcika
2 : 2
Kecskemeti TE
31 Aug
Szeged-Csanad GA
1 : 1
Kazincbarcika
23 Aug
Csakvari
0 : 2
Kazincbarcika
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