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MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, Budapest
MTK Budapest Logo

MTK Budapest

1 - 2
FT
Kisvarda FC Logo

Kisvarda FC

Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Zeljkovic A.
46'
Sub
Yordanov T. In: Biro B.
Out: Yordanov T.
46'
Sub
Esik A. In: Szikszai H.
Out: Esik A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kisvarda FC in this NB I. matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kisvarda FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
MTK Budapest
30%
Draws
37%
Kisvarda FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kisvarda FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kisvarda FC lately — more wins on the board than MTK Budapest.
  • Kisvarda FC are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular NB I. form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 10%
Kisvarda FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest Kisvarda FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.71 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC
2:1
Jan 24, 2026 NB I.
Kisvarda FC vs MTK Budapest
2:3
Sep 28, 2025 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC
4:0
Apr 2, 2024 Hungarian Cup
Kisvarda FC vs MTK Budapest
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Klausz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kisvarda FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Matanovic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Szikszai H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest 10 / 100
Kisvarda FC 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest Kisvarda FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kisvarda FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MTK Budapest's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Kisvarda FC let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

MTK Budapest went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest VS Kisvarda FC
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest

(Home)
20 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Gyor
12 Sept
Mezokovesd-Zsory
0 : 2
MTK Budapest
05 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Kisvarda FC
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2
MTK Budapest
22 Aug
MTK Budapest
2 : 1
Nyiregyhaza
Page 1 of 6

Kisvarda FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Kisvarda FC
0 : 1
Paks
12 Sept
Nagykozar KSE
0 : 9
Kisvarda FC
05 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Kisvarda FC
30 Aug
Kisvarda FC
1 : 1
Gyor
23 Aug
Kisvarda FC
0 : 0
Debrecen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puskas Academy 8 5 0 3 13:10 15
2 Gyor 8 4 3 1 16:10 15
3 Vasas 8 4 2 2 17:11 14
4 Ujpest 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
5 Ferencvaros 7 3 3 1 11:8 12
6 Paks 8 3 2 3 16:17 11
7 MTK Budapest 8 2 3 3 15:14 9
8 Kisvarda FC 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
9 Debrecen 8 2 3 3 12:15 9
10 Nyiregyhaza 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
11 Zalaegerszegi 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
12 Honved 7 1 3 3 11:14 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)