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MTK Budapest vs Komarno

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
1 - 1
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Muritala Y.
81' Event
Kerezsi Z.

AI Match Summary

MTK Budapest host Komarno in the Club Friendly. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Komarno have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while MTK Budapest have conceded 2.5 and scored 2. Head-to-head, MTK Budapest have won 1 to Komarno's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.69 - 1.81) back MTK Budapest to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
MTK Budapest
17%
Draws
70%
Komarno
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Komarno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • MTK Budapest's 2 goals per match outpaces what Komarno have produced (1.13).
  • Win probability leans Komarno's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 11%
Komarno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest Komarno
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Komarno
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Komarno
0:3
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Komarno
0:0
Jun 27, 2018 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Komarno
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerezsi Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Komarno Compare

Top Goalscorer Muritala Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest 14 / 100
Komarno 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest Komarno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MTK Budapest found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Komarno let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

MTK Budapest went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest VS Komarno
2 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest

(Home)
11 Jul
MTK Budapest
1 : 3
Koper
11 Jul
MTK Budapest
0 : 4
LNZ Cherkasy
08 Jul
Celje
4 : 3
MTK Budapest
04 Jul
MTK Budapest
2 : 3
Kecskemeti TE
01 Jul
MTK Budapest
3 : 1
Vasas
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Komarno

(Away)
11 Jul
Komarno
5 : 0
FK Pohronie
08 Jul
Komarno
0 : 0
Zvolen
04 Jul
Vasas
3 : 1
Komarno
27 Jun
Paks
4 : 1
Komarno
23 May
Komarno
3 : 0
Zvolen
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