Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MTK Budapest vs Kozarmisleny SE

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Jurina M.
53' Event
Kerezsi Z.
61' Event
Kovacs P.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between MTK Budapest and Kozarmisleny SE finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MTK Budapest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
MTK Budapest
20%
Draws
34%
Kozarmisleny SE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Kozarmisleny SE carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives MTK Budapest a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and MTK Budapest have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 20%
Kozarmisleny SE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest Kozarmisleny SE
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 12 5
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.7 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Kozarmisleny SE
3:0
Jan 10, 2026 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Kozarmisleny SE
5:2
Jul 13, 2024 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Kozarmisleny SE
0:2
Feb 28, 2024 Hungarian Cup
Kozarmisleny SE vs MTK Budapest
0:3
Jan 17, 2024 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Kozarmisleny SE
5:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovacs P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jurina M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Kozarmisleny SE Compare

Top Goalscorer Varga R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zamostny B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest 49 / 100
Kozarmisleny SE 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest Kozarmisleny SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MTK Budapest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: MTK Budapest scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Kozarmisleny SE conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

MTK Budapest has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest VS Kozarmisleny SE
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest

(Home)
12 Sept
Mezokovesd-Zsory
0 : 2
MTK Budapest
05 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Kisvarda FC
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2
MTK Budapest
22 Aug
MTK Budapest
2 : 1
Nyiregyhaza
15 Aug
Ujpest
1 : 1
MTK Budapest
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Kozarmisleny SE

(Away)
12 Sept
Mateszalkai MTK
1 : 3
Kozarmisleny SE
05 Sept
Kozarmisleny SE
2 : 0
Mezokovesd-Zsory
29 Aug
Kecskemeti TE
3 : 0
Kozarmisleny SE
22 Aug
Kozarmisleny SE
1 : 2
Szeged-Csanad GA
15 Aug
Kazincbarcika
2 : 1
Kozarmisleny SE
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