Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MTK Budapest vs Vasas

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, Budapest
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MTK Budapest host Vasas in the NB I.. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: MTK Budapest at 1.72 goals for, 1.79 against; Vasas at 2.17 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, MTK Budapest have won 4 to Vasas's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 1, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.50) point toward Vasas. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
MTK Budapest
20%
Draws
51%
Vasas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vasas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • MTK Budapest haven't matched Vasas's recent run of results.
  • Vasas are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular NB I. form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and MTK Budapest have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 16%
Vasas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest Vasas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 19
Draws 12 4
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.72 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.79 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Vasas
3:1
Jul 19, 2023 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Vasas
2:1
Jan 13, 2021 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Vasas
0:0
Mar 14, 2020 NB II.
MTK Budapest vs Vasas
3:1
Sep 18, 2019 NB II.
Vasas vs MTK Budapest
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest 28 / 100
Vasas 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest Vasas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MTK Budapest scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: MTK Budapest remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Vasas has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest VS Vasas
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest

(Home)
05 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2
Kisvarda FC
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2
MTK Budapest
22 Aug
MTK Budapest
2 : 1
Nyiregyhaza
15 Aug
Ujpest
1 : 1
MTK Budapest
07 Aug
MTK Budapest
2 : 3
Puskas Academy
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Vasas

(Away)
04 Sept
Vasas
3 : 2
Nyiregyhaza
29 Aug
Ujpest
3 : 1
Vasas
22 Aug
Vasas
0 : 1
Puskas Academy
14 Aug
Honved
1 : 2
Vasas
08 Aug
Vasas
5 : 0
Zalaegerszegi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puskas Academy 7 4 0 3 10:9 12
2 Gyor 7 3 3 1 14:9 12
3 Vasas 7 3 2 2 13:9 11
4 Ujpest 7 3 2 2 15:12 11
5 Ferencvaros 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
6 MTK Budapest 7 2 3 2 14:12 9
7 Kisvarda FC 7 2 3 2 9:9 9
8 Debrecen 7 2 3 2 10:11 9
9 Paks 7 2 2 3 15:17 8
10 Nyiregyhaza 7 2 1 4 8:13 7
11 Zalaegerszegi 7 2 0 5 6:15 6
12 Honved 6 1 3 2 10:11 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)