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MTK Budapest vs Vasas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hungary Hungary

NB I. Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, Budapest
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Komaromi G.
46'
Sub
Horvath R. In: Kovacsreti M.
Out: Horvath R.
60'
Barath B.

AI Match Summary

The NB I. game between MTK Budapest and Vasas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MTK Budapest.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
MTK Budapest
20%
Draws
36%
Vasas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • MTK Budapest haven't matched Vasas's recent run of results.
  • Vasas are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular NB I. form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and MTK Budapest have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 10%
Vasas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest Vasas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.72 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2026 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Vasas
1:0
Jul 1, 2026 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Vasas
3:1
Jul 19, 2023 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Vasas
2:1
Jan 13, 2021 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Vasas
0:0
Mar 14, 2020 NB II.
MTK Budapest vs Vasas
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Komaromi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vasas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest 22 / 100
Vasas 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest Vasas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MTK Budapest scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Vasas conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

MTK Budapest has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest VS Vasas
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest

(Home)
31 Oct
Zalaegerszegi
3 : 0
MTK Budapest
28 Oct
Monori
1 : 5
MTK Budapest
25 Oct
Ferencvaros
5 : 0
MTK Budapest
16 Oct
MTK Budapest
1 : 0
Vasas
10 Oct
Paks
3 : 0
MTK Budapest
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Vasas

(Away)
31 Oct
Gyor
2 : 2
Vasas
28 Oct
Szentlorinc SE
3 : 4
Vasas
25 Oct
Vasas
0 : 2
Paks
16 Oct
MTK Budapest
1 : 0
Vasas
10 Oct
Vasas
1 : 1
Kisvarda FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gyor 12 6 4 2 21:14 22
2 Puskas Academy 12 7 0 5 17:15 21
3 Ferencvaros 11 5 5 1 20:10 20
4 Debrecen 12 5 4 3 21:17 19
5 Ujpest 12 5 3 4 20:17 18
6 Paks 12 5 2 5 22:21 17
7 Vasas 12 4 4 4 20:17 16
8 Zalaegerszegi 12 4 1 7 16:22 13
9 Honved 11 3 4 4 14:17 13
10 MTK Budapest 12 3 3 6 16:25 12
11 Kisvarda FC 12 2 6 4 12:14 12
12 Nyiregyhaza 12 3 2 7 13:23 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)