Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MTK Budapest vs Videoton

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Murka B.
39' Event
Molnar A.
44' Event
Nemeth D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
MTK Budapest
20%
Draws
34%
Videoton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MTK Budapest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Videoton have won more games recently than MTK Budapest.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 11%
Videoton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MTK Budapest Videoton
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 10 12
Draws 11 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
MTK Budapest vs Videoton
2:2
Apr 20, 2025 NB I.
Videoton vs MTK Budapest
1:1
Apr 3, 2025 Hungarian Cup
MTK Budapest vs Videoton
4:2
Dec 14, 2024 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Videoton
3:2
Aug 30, 2024 NB I.
Videoton vs MTK Budapest
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MTK Budapest Compare

Top Goalscorer Molnar A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Horvath A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Videoton Compare

Top Goalscorer Murka B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nemeth D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MTK Budapest 29 / 100
Videoton 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MTK Budapest Videoton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MTK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MTK Budapest's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Videoton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: MTK Budapest stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MTK Budapest VS Videoton
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

MTK Budapest

(Home)
07 Aug
MTK Budapest
2 : 3
Puskas Academy
01 Aug
Honved
3 : 3
MTK Budapest
27 Jul
MTK Budapest
3 : 0
Zalaegerszegi
18 Jul
MTK Budapest
1 : 1
Komarno
18 Jul
MTK Budapest
3 : 0
Kozarmisleny SE
Page 1 of 7

Videoton

(Away)
01 Aug
Kazincbarcika
3 : 1
Videoton
25 Jul
Videoton
4 : 0
Kozarmisleny SE
18 Jul
Vasas
1 : 0
Videoton
10 Jul
Videoton
3 : 0
Haladas
08 Jul
Videoton
0 : 1
Pecsi MFC
Page 1 of 6