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Muaither SC vs Al Arabi (Qatar) Prediction & H2H Stats

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup 2025/2026 Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ait Abdesslem A.
21' Event
Gonzalez E.
67' Event
Aaron L.

AI Match Summary

Muaither SC in this QSL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Muaither SC
30%
Draws
28%
Al Arabi (Qatar)
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Muaither SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Muaither SC have won more games recently than Al Arabi (Qatar).
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Muaither SC taking it.
  • Muaither SC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Muaither SC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Muaither SC Clean Sheet 16%
Al Arabi (Qatar) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muaither SC Al Arabi (Qatar)
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 QSL Cup
Muaither SC vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
4:3
Dec 13, 2025 QSL Cup
Muaither SC vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
3:0
Apr 28, 2024 QSL
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Muaither SC
4:3
Dec 8, 2023 QSL
Muaither SC vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
2:2
Sep 9, 2023 QSL Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Muaither SC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muaither SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ait Abdesslem A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Al Arabi (Qatar) Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muaither SC 66 / 100
Al Arabi (Qatar) 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muaither SC Al Arabi (Qatar)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muaither SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Arabi (Qatar) has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Muaither SC found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Muaither SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Muaither SC VS Al Arabi (Qatar)
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Muaither SC

(Home)
22 Sept
Muaither SC
2 : 0
Al Khor
07 Sept
Al-Gharafa 2
0 : 1
Muaither SC
31 Aug
Muaither SC
5 : 1
Al Rayyan 2
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0
Muaither SC
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0
Muaither SC
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Al Arabi (Qatar)

(Away)
21 Sept
Al-Duhail
2 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0
Qatar SC
03 Sept
Al Sailiya
0 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
29 Aug
Al-Duhail
1 : 1
Al Arabi (Qatar)
21 Aug
Al Arabi (Qatar)
2 : 2
Shamal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 10 8 1 1 32:17 25
2 Umm-Salal 10 6 2 2 26:17 20
3 Muaither SC 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 10 6 1 3 27:16 19
5 Al-Waab 10 5 3 2 16:11 18
6 Al Markhiya 10 5 3 2 13:12 18
7 Al Sailiya 10 6 0 4 16:17 18
8 Al-Shahaniya 10 5 2 3 13:11 17
9 Shamal 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
10 Al Bidda 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
11 Al Khor 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
12 Al Mesaimeer 10 3 4 3 18:17 13
13 Qatar SC 10 4 1 5 23:23 13
14 Al-Kharitiyath 10 4 1 5 19:20 13
15 Al Ahli 10 2 3 5 13:21 9
16 Al-Duhail 10 2 3 5 4:17 9
17 Lusail 10 1 4 5 15:26 7
18 Al Wakra 10 1 3 6 17:22 6
19 Al-Gharafa 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
20 Al-Sadd 10 1 2 7 18:31 5
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)