Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Muang Loei Utd vs Chainat Hornbill - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Sukcharoen Y.
65' Event
Butsri A.
90' Event
Thiagao Duchatsch
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Muang Loei Utd in this Thai League 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Muang Loei Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Muang Loei Utd
30%
Draws
39%
Chainat Hornbill
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chainat Hornbill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chainat Hornbill lately — more wins on the board than Muang Loei Utd.
  • Win probability leans Muang Loei Utd's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Muang Loei Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muang Loei Utd Chainat Hornbill
Matches Played 11 29
Wins 3 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.09 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Thai League 2
Muang Loei Utd vs Chainat Hornbill
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muang Loei Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Sukcharoen Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Butsri A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Chainat Hornbill Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muang Loei Utd 77 / 100
Chainat Hornbill 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muang Loei Utd Chainat Hornbill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muang Loei Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chainat Hornbill's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Muang Loei Utd scored in 64% of their last 11 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Muang Loei Utd has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Muang Loei Utd VS Chainat Hornbill
1 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Muang Loei Utd

(Home)
10 Oct
Muang Loei Utd
2 : 2
Pattaya United
20 Sept
Songkhla
1 : 1
Muang Loei Utd
17 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
2 : 0
Phrae United
13 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
3 : 0
Chainat Hornbill
06 Sept
Police Tero
1 : 0
Muang Loei Utd
Page 1 of 3

Chainat Hornbill

(Away)
11 Oct
Chainat Hornbill
2 : 0
Songkhla
19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2
Chainat Hornbill
16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0
Pattaya United
13 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
3 : 0
Chainat Hornbill
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1
Phrae United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uttaradit FC 5 3 2 0 11:7 11
2 Chainat Hornbill 5 3 1 1 7:5 10
3 Satun FC 5 3 0 2 12:9 9
4 Chiangmai United 5 3 0 2 7:4 9
5 Khonkaen United 5 3 0 2 7:4 9
6 Muang Loei Utd 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
7 Nong Bua Pitchaya 5 2 2 1 9:7 8
8 Nakhon Pathom 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
9 Phrae United 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
10 Police Tero 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
11 Muang Thong Utd 5 2 1 2 3:5 7
12 Kanchanaburi 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
13 Chanthaburi 5 1 2 2 5:5 5
14 Songkhla 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
15 Pattaya United 5 1 2 2 3:8 5
16 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 5 0 3 2 6:8 3
17 Mahasarakham 5 0 3 2 5:9 3
18 Kasetsart 5 0 1 4 0:8 1
Promotion - Thai League 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)