Sport Picks
Muang Thong Utd vs Chiangmai United
Thailand
Thai League 2 Thunderdome Stadium, Nonthaburi 
Match Events
13'
13'
Mamba S.
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 2 game between Muang Thong Utd and Chiangmai United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Muang Thong Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Muang Thong Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Chiangmai United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Chiangmai United a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Thai League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Muang Thong Utd have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Muang Thong Utd Clean Sheet 18%
Chiangmai United Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Muang Thong Utd | Chiangmai United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 15 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Thai League 2
Muang Thong Utd vs Chiangmai United
1:0
Apr 16, 2022 Thai League 1
Chiangmai United vs Muang Thong Utd
1:1
Nov 14, 2021 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Chiangmai United
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Muang Thong Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Mamba S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Chiangmai United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Muang Thong Utd 20 / 100
Chiangmai United 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Muang Thong Utd Chiangmai United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chiangmai United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chiangmai United has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.
Muang Thong Utd has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Muang Thong Utd scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Muang Thong Utd VS Chiangmai United
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Muang Thong Utd
(Home) 19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0 Chiangmai United
15 Sept
Satun FC
3 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
12 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
04 Sept
Uttaradit FC
0 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
29 Aug
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 0 Police Tero
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0 Chiangmai United
12 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
29 Aug
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 0 Police Tero
01 May
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 1 Pathum United
18 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Page 1 of 3
Chiangmai United
(Away) 19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0 Chiangmai United
15 Sept
Chiangmai United
3 : 1 Khonkaen United
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chiangmai United
05 Sept
Chiangmai United
0 : 1 Pattaya United
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4 Chiangmai United
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0 Chiangmai United
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chiangmai United
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4 Chiangmai United
21 Mar
Khonkaen United
2 : 1 Chiangmai United
07 Mar
Pattaya United
4 : 1 Chiangmai United
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khonkaen United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Uttaradit FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Muang Loei Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Chainat Hornbill | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 6 | Muang Thong Utd | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 7 | Satun FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Kanchanaburi | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 9 | Chiangmai United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 10 | Police Tero | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Songkhla | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 12 | Chanthaburi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 13 | Nakhon Pathom | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 14 | Phrae United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 15 | Pattaya United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:6 | 4 |
| 16 | Mahasarakham | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 17 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 2 |
| 18 | Kasetsart | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Thai League 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
