Sport Picks
Muang Thong Utd vs Nong Bua Pitchaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Thailand
Thai League 2 
Match Events
45'
45'
Caio Rodrigues
54'
54'
Kraikruan S.
88'
88'
Yoosuebchuea S.
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 2 game between Muang Thong Utd and Nong Bua Pitchaya finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Muang Thong Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Muang Thong Utd haven't matched Nong Bua Pitchaya's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Muang Thong Utd Clean Sheet 15%
Nong Bua Pitchaya Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Muang Thong Utd | Nong Bua Pitchaya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Thai League 2
Muang Thong Utd vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 Thai League 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Muang Thong Utd
0:0
Apr 23, 2023 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
3:1
Nov 12, 2022 Thai League 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Muang Thong Utd
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Muang Thong Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Kraikruan S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yoosuebchuea S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Nong Bua Pitchaya Compare
Top Goalscorer Caio Rodrigues
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Muang Thong Utd 31 / 100
Nong Bua Pitchaya 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Muang Thong Utd Nong Bua Pitchaya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nong Bua Pitchaya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Muang Thong Utd has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Muang Thong Utd found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).
Scoring Trends
Muang Thong Utd VS Nong Bua Pitchaya
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Muang Thong Utd
(Home) 10 Oct
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0 Chiangmai United
15 Sept
Satun FC
3 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
12 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
04 Sept
Uttaradit FC
0 : 0 Muang Thong Utd
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0 Chiangmai United
12 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
29 Aug
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 0 Police Tero
01 May
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 1 Pathum United
18 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Page 1 of 3
Nong Bua Pitchaya
(Away) 19 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
4 : 3 Satun FC
16 Sept
Uttaradit FC
2 : 2 Nong Bua Pitchaya
12 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
06 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 0 Kasetsart
23 May
Pattani
3 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Uttaradit FC
2 : 2 Nong Bua Pitchaya
12 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
23 May
Pattani
3 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
03 May
Police Tero
2 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
18 Apr
Chiangmai United
3 : 0 Nong Bua Pitchaya
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khonkaen United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Chiangmai United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Muang Loei Utd | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Uttaradit FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 5 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 6 | Nakhon Pathom | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Phrae United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 8 | Chainat Hornbill | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Police Tero | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Muang Thong Utd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Satun FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 6 |
| 12 | Kanchanaburi | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 13 | Songkhla | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 14 | Pattaya United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Chanthaburi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 17 | Mahasarakham | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 18 | Kasetsart | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0:8 | 1 |
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