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Muang Thong Utd vs Phrae United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Muang Thong Utd host Phrae United in the Thai League 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Muang Thong Utd have averaged 1 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against Phrae United's 1.07 scored and 1.5 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.00, favoring Phrae United. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Muang Thong Utd
20%
Draws
33%
Phrae United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Muang Thong Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Muang Thong Utd come out ahead of Phrae United on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Muang Thong Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Phrae United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muang Thong Utd Phrae United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muang Thong Utd 36 / 100
Phrae United 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muang Thong Utd Phrae United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phrae United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Phrae United let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Muang Thong Utd went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Muang Thong Utd scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Away concern: Phrae United has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Muang Thong Utd VS Phrae United
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Muang Thong Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0
Chiangmai United
15 Sept
Satun FC
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
12 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
04 Sept
Uttaradit FC
0 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
29 Aug
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 0
Police Tero
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Phrae United

(Away)
09 Oct
Phrae United
2 : 1
Kanchanaburi
20 Sept
Pattaya United
0 : 3
Phrae United
17 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
2 : 0
Phrae United
13 Sept
Phrae United
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1
Phrae United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khonkaen United 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Uttaradit FC 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Muang Loei Utd 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
5 Phrae United 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
6 Chainat Hornbill 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
7 Muang Thong Utd 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
8 Satun FC 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
9 Kanchanaburi 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
10 Chiangmai United 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
11 Police Tero 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
12 Songkhla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
13 Chanthaburi 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
14 Nakhon Pathom 4 0 4 0 3:3 4
15 Pattaya United 4 1 1 2 1:6 4
16 Mahasarakham 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
17 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
18 Kasetsart 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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