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Muang Thong Utd vs Police Tero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Muang Thong Utd host Police Tero in the Thai League 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Muang Thong Utd have averaged 0.9 scored and 1.34 conceded recently, against Police Tero's 1.24 scored and 1.52 conceded. Head-to-head, Muang Thong Utd have won 3 to Police Tero's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.94, favoring Muang Thong Utd. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Muang Thong Utd
20%
Draws
40%
Police Tero
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Police Tero at 1.24 per game, Muang Thong Utd at 0.9.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Muang Thong Utd taking it.
  • Regular Thai League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Muang Thong Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Police Tero Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muang Thong Utd Police Tero
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Muang Thong Utd vs Police Tero
2:0
Mar 31, 2024 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Police Tero
3:1
Oct 22, 2023 Thai League 1
Police Tero vs Muang Thong Utd
2:1
Mar 11, 2023 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Police Tero
1:0
Oct 16, 2022 Thai League 1
Police Tero vs Muang Thong Utd
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muang Thong Utd 42 / 100
Police Tero 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muang Thong Utd Police Tero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Police Tero conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Police Tero lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Muang Thong Utd scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Muang Thong Utd VS Police Tero
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Muang Thong Utd

(Home)
18 Oct
Mahasarakham
0 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
13 Oct
Muang Thong Utd
0 : 1
Phrae United
10 Oct
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0
Chiangmai United
15 Sept
Satun FC
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
Page 1 of 6

Police Tero

(Away)
17 Oct
Police Tero
5 : 3
Kasetsart
13 Oct
Kanchanaburi
1 : 0
Police Tero
10 Oct
Police Tero
1 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
19 Sept
Khonkaen United
2 : 0
Police Tero
15 Sept
Police Tero
0 : 3
Songkhla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khonkaen United 7 5 0 2 11:5 15
2 Chainat Hornbill 7 4 1 2 11:9 13
3 Uttaradit FC 7 3 3 1 14:11 12
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 7 3 2 2 15:12 11
5 Satun FC 7 3 2 2 13:10 11
6 Kanchanaburi 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
7 Chiangmai United 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
8 Police Tero 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
9 Phrae United 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
10 Nakhon Pathom 7 2 4 1 8:9 10
11 Muang Loei Utd 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
12 Chanthaburi 7 2 3 2 8:5 9
13 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
14 Muang Thong Utd 7 2 2 3 3:6 8
15 Pattaya United 7 2 2 3 6:12 8
16 Songkhla 7 1 3 3 9:11 6
17 Mahasarakham 7 0 4 3 6:12 4
18 Kasetsart 7 1 1 5 6:14 4
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