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Muang Thong Utd vs Police Tero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Kempter M.
80' Event
Mamba S.

AI Match Summary

Muang Thong Utd in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Muang Thong Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Muang Thong Utd
20%
Draws
40%
Police Tero
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Police Tero lately — more wins on the board than Muang Thong Utd.
  • Muang Thong Utd are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Muang Thong Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Police Tero Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muang Thong Utd Police Tero
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Muang Thong Utd vs Police Tero
2:0
Mar 31, 2024 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Police Tero
3:1
Oct 22, 2023 Thai League 1
Police Tero vs Muang Thong Utd
2:1
Mar 11, 2023 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Police Tero
1:0
Oct 16, 2022 Thai League 1
Police Tero vs Muang Thong Utd
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muang Thong Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Kempter M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mamba S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Police Tero Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muang Thong Utd 42 / 100
Police Tero 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muang Thong Utd Police Tero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police Tero let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Muang Thong Utd remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Muang Thong Utd found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Muang Thong Utd VS Police Tero
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Muang Thong Utd

(Home)
10 Oct
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0
Chiangmai United
15 Sept
Satun FC
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
12 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
04 Sept
Uttaradit FC
0 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
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Police Tero

(Away)
10 Oct
Police Tero
1 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
19 Sept
Khonkaen United
2 : 0
Police Tero
15 Sept
Police Tero
0 : 3
Songkhla
11 Sept
Pattaya United
0 : 3
Police Tero
06 Sept
Police Tero
1 : 0
Muang Loei Utd
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