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Mufulira Wanderers vs Lumwana Radiants

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mufulira Wanderers play Lumwana Radiants in the Super League 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mufulira Wanderers averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. Lumwana Radiants averaged 0.7 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Mufulira Wanderers won 2, Lumwana Radiants won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 25, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Mufulira Wanderers and 0.81 for Lumwana Radiants. This points to a Mufulira Wanderers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Mufulira Wanderers
19%
Draws
35%
Lumwana Radiants
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Mufulira Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Mufulira Wanderers picked up more points recently compared to Lumwana Radiants.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 8%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21%
Mufulira Wanderers Clean Sheet 26%
Lumwana Radiants Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 48%
Second Half Goal 50%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mufulira Wanderers Lumwana Radiants
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.8 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.69 0.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Lumwana Radiants
2:0
Sep 12, 2024 Super League
Lumwana Radiants vs Mufulira Wanderers
0:2
Aug 27, 2020 Super League
Lumwana Radiants vs Mufulira Wanderers
0:0
Jan 4, 2020 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Lumwana Radiants
0:1
Aug 16, 2017 Super League
Lumwana Radiants vs Mufulira Wanderers
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mufulira Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Makungu C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Lumwana Radiants Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mufulira Wanderers 47 / 100
Lumwana Radiants 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mufulira Wanderers Lumwana Radiants

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mufulira Wanderers or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +75%
12.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mufulira Wanderers attacking → ← attacking Lumwana Radiants

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mufulira Wanderers scored in 54% of their last 35 games.

Lumwana Radiants let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Mufulira Wanderers went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lumwana Radiants lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 36
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Power Dynamos34208654:2268
2Zesco341712534:2063
3Nkana341610848:2958
4Red Arrows341511832:2456
5Kabwe341312938:2751
6Nkwazi341214831:2650
7Green Buffaloes FC3411121134:3545
8Mufulira Wanderers341361530:3145
9NAPSA Stars34917824:2244
10Muza Fc3411111233:3444
11Nchanga Rangers349151029:2842
12Green Eagles349141132:3441
13Mutondo Stars3410111326:3441
14Zanaco349121334:4139
15Atletico Lusaka341091527:4639
16Forest Rangers347171031:3438
17Lumwana Radiants341071721:3637
18Indeni34362520:5515