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Muglaspor vs Bursaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu, Muğla
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Muglaspor host Bursaspor in the 1. Lig. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Muglaspor at 1.18 goals for, 0.64 against; Bursaspor at 2.25 for, 0.5 against. Head-to-head, Muglaspor have won 0 to Bursaspor's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 24, 2019, ending 1:3. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.31) point toward Bursaspor. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Muglaspor
35%
Draws
38%
Bursaspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bursaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bursaspor lately — more wins on the board than Muglaspor.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Bursaspor taking it.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Muglaspor Clean Sheet 18%
Bursaspor Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muglaspor Bursaspor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 20
Draws 10 6
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 1.18 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.64 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2019 Turkish Cup
Muglaspor vs Bursaspor
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muglaspor 28 / 100
Bursaspor 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muglaspor Bursaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bursaspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Muglaspor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Muglaspor scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Bursaspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 39% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Muglaspor VS Bursaspor
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Muglaspor

(Home)
18 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Igdir FK
13 Sept
Sivasspor
1 : 1
Muglaspor
06 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Vanspor FK
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
28 Aug
Muglaspor
2 : 0
Boluspor
Page 1 of 6

Bursaspor

(Away)
19 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
1 : 2
Bursaspor
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2
Erokspor
07 Sept
Manisa FK
1 : 2
Bursaspor
03 Sept
Bursaspor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
29 Aug
Kayserispor
1 : 2
Bursaspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 15:13 16
5 Sariyer 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 Keciorengucu 8 3 4 1 17:10 13
7 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
8 Antalyaspor 8 4 0 4 14:13 12
9 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
10 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
11 Bandirmaspor 8 2 4 2 12:5 10
12 Pendikspor 8 2 4 2 10:13 10
13 Manisa FK 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
14 Bodrumspor 8 1 5 2 7:6 8
15 Sivasspor 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
16 Umraniyespor 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
18 Istanbulspor AS 8 1 2 5 7:19 5
19 Vanspor FK 8 1 3 4 8:17 4
20 Boluspor 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)