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Muglaspor vs Vanspor FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu, Muğla
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bardhi J.
Assist: Manis M.
34'
Fidan Y.
35' Event
Sever I.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. Lig matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Muglaspor
35%
Draws
12%
Vanspor FK
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Muglaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Muglaspor have won more games recently than Vanspor FK.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Muglaspor taking it.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Vanspor FK have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Muglaspor Clean Sheet 68%
Vanspor FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muglaspor Vanspor FK
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 12 7
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 1. Lig
Muglaspor vs Vanspor FK
2:2
Apr 1, 2018 3. Lig Group 2
Vanspor FK vs Muglaspor
2:1
Nov 11, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Muglaspor vs Vanspor FK
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muglaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Uzunoglu Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Osundina K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vanspor FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Bardhi J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muglaspor 95 / 100
Vanspor FK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muglaspor Vanspor FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muglaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanspor FK let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Solid form: Muglaspor remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Muglaspor scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Muglaspor VS Vanspor FK
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Muglaspor

(Home)
18 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Igdir FK
13 Sept
Sivasspor
1 : 1
Muglaspor
06 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Vanspor FK
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
28 Aug
Muglaspor
2 : 0
Boluspor
Page 1 of 6

Vanspor FK

(Away)
09 Oct
Vanspor FK
0 : 2
Bandirmaspor
20 Sept
Antalyaspor
3 : 0
Vanspor FK
12 Sept
Vanspor FK
1 : 1
Keciorengucu
06 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Vanspor FK
02 Sept
Vanspor FK
0 : 2
Batman Petrolspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
4 Igdir FK 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 15:13 16
6 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
7 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
9 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
10 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
11 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
12 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
18 Istanbulspor AS 8 1 2 5 7:19 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
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