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Muhanga vs Musanze

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Muhanga play Musanze in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Muhanga averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Musanze averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Muhanga won 0, Musanze won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Muhanga and 1.00 for Musanze. This points to a Musanze double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Muhanga
16%
Draws
51%
Musanze
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Musanze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Muhanga picked up more points recently compared to Musanze.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Muhanga Clean Sheet 23%
Musanze Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muhanga Musanze
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Muhanga vs Musanze
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League
Musanze vs Muhanga
3:0
May 27, 2021 Premier League
Musanze vs Muhanga
3:1
Dec 7, 2020 Premier League
Musanze vs Muhanga
2:1
Jan 5, 2020 Premier League
Musanze vs Muhanga
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muhanga 34 / 100
Musanze 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muhanga Musanze

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Musanze or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Muhanga attacking → ← attacking Musanze

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muhanga scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Musanze let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Muhanga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Musanze lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 38
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman34236574:2575
2APR341911450:2868
3Al-Merreikh341611741:2459
4Rayon Sport341414640:3056
5Kiyovu341314734:2153
6Police341216629:1952
7Mukura Victory Sports3412111136:3847
8Marines341291347:4345
9Bugesera341281434:3944
10Musanze3411101338:3743
11Gorilla3410101431:4240
12Gicumbi341081638:5438
13Etincelles347161132:4037
14AS Kigali348111527:3935
15Gasogi United348111529:4435
16Amagaju34981719:3835
17Muhanga34871925:4631
18Rutsiro346111730:4729