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Muhazi United vs Sunrise Prediction & H2H Stats

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Abdoul I.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2023/2024 game between Muhazi United and Sunrise finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Muhazi United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Muhazi United
30%
Draws
47%
Sunrise
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sunrise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sunrise haven't matched Muhazi United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sunrise's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Muhazi United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Muhazi United Clean Sheet 32%
Sunrise Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muhazi United Sunrise
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.82 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 0.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Premier League
Muhazi United vs Sunrise
1:0
Oct 29, 2023 Premier League
Sunrise vs Muhazi United
1:2
Mar 4, 2023 Premier League
Muhazi United vs Sunrise
2:0
Dec 11, 2022 Premier League
Sunrise vs Muhazi United
5:2
May 10, 2016 Premier League
Muhazi United vs Sunrise
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muhazi United Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdoul I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Sunrise Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.23

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muhazi United 31 / 100
Sunrise 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muhazi United Sunrise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunrise Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunrise has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Muhazi United's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: Muhazi United stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Muhazi United VS Sunrise
0.88 Goals Scored 0.33
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.33
50% Over 1.5 33%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Muhazi United

(Home)
28 May
Amagaju
2 : 1
Muhazi United
24 May
Muhazi United
0 : 1
APR
17 May
Gasogi United
1 : 0
Muhazi United
11 May
Rutsiro
1 : 2
Muhazi United
01 May
Kiyovu
2 : 2
Muhazi United
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Sunrise

(Away)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0
Sunrise
11 May
Sunrise
3 : 1
Marines
04 May
Amagaju
1 : 0
Sunrise
28 Apr
Sunrise
2 : 1
Gorilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 19 11 0 47:17 68
2 Rayon Sport 30 17 6 7 42:25 57
3 Musanze 30 16 5 9 34:24 53
4 Mukura Victory Sports 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
5 Kigali FC 30 12 9 9 26:25 45
6 Kiyovu 30 11 11 8 38:34 44
7 Police 30 12 3 15 35:34 39
8 Amagaju 30 10 9 11 30:31 39
9 Gasogi United 30 10 6 14 31:34 36
10 Gorilla 30 9 8 13 26:33 35
11 Marines 30 9 8 13 32:42 35
12 Muhazi United 30 7 12 11 21:29 33
13 Bugesera 30 7 11 12 37:35 32
14 Etincelles 30 8 8 14 35:44 32
15 Sunrise 30 9 5 16 25:40 32
16 Etoile de L'Est 30 9 4 17 20:39 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)