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Mukura Victory Sports vs Gasogi United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Sackey J.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Mutsinzi P.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Herve F.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Mukura Victory Sports and Gasogi United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mukura Victory Sports.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Mukura Victory Sports
20%
Draws
16%
Gasogi United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mukura Victory Sports

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Mukura Victory Sports carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mukura Victory Sports's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Mukura Victory Sports Clean Sheet 68%
Gasogi United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mukura Victory Sports Gasogi United
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.23 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Premier League
Mukura Victory Sports vs Gasogi United
2:0
Feb 15, 2026 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Mukura Victory Sports
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Mukura Victory Sports vs Gasogi United
0:2
May 7, 2025 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Mukura Victory Sports
1:0
Aug 15, 2024 Premier League
Mukura Victory Sports vs Gasogi United
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mukura Victory Sports 68 / 100
Gasogi United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mukura Victory Sports Gasogi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mukura Victory Sports Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mukura Victory Sports's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gasogi United conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Gasogi United lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mukura Victory Sports VS Gasogi United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mukura Victory Sports

(Home)
17 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 1
Police
06 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 0
Gasogi United
27 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Mukura Victory Sports
30 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0
Amagaju
24 May
Gicumbi
3 : 2
Mukura Victory Sports
Page 1 of 6

Gasogi United

(Away)
06 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 0
Gasogi United
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
13 May
Al Hilal Omdurman
2 : 1
Gasogi United
10 May
Gasogi United
2 : 2
Etincelles
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Etincelles 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
3 Gorilla 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
4 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
5 Marines 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
6 Kiyovu 4 1 1 2 1:2 4
7 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
8 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
9 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Mukura Victory Sports 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
11 Bugesera 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
12 Police 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
13 Musanze 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
14 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
15 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
16 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
17 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)