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Mukura Victory Sports vs Police - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Ingabire C.
Assist: Manishimwe D.

AI Match Summary

Police in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Police.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Mukura Victory Sports
15%
Draws
59%
Police
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Police

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mukura Victory Sports lately — more wins on the board than Police.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Mukura Victory Sports taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Mukura Victory Sports Clean Sheet 20%
Police Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mukura Victory Sports Police
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 12
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.23 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Premier League
Mukura Victory Sports vs Police
0:1
May 6, 2026 Premier League
Mukura Victory Sports vs Police
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Police vs Mukura Victory Sports
1:1
May 3, 2025 Peace Cup
Police vs Mukura Victory Sports
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 Premier League
Police vs Mukura Victory Sports
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mukura Victory Sports Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingabire C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mukura Victory Sports 42 / 100
Police 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mukura Victory Sports Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mukura Victory Sports found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Police conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mukura Victory Sports stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mukura Victory Sports VS Police
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mukura Victory Sports

(Home)
17 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 1
Police
06 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
2 : 0
Gasogi United
27 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Mukura Victory Sports
30 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0
Amagaju
24 May
Gicumbi
3 : 2
Mukura Victory Sports
Page 1 of 6

Police

(Away)
17 Sept
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 1
Police
07 Sept
Police
1 : 2
Gicumbi
30 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0
Police
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Etincelles 4 2 1 1 2:2 7
3 Gorilla 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
4 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
5 Marines 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
6 Kiyovu 4 1 1 2 1:2 4
7 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
8 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
9 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Mukura Victory Sports 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
11 Bugesera 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
12 Police 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
13 Musanze 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
14 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
15 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
16 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
17 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)