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Muleno CF vs Caravaca

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Morete
72' Event
Esquinas Herrera A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Muleno CF and Caravaca finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Muleno CF
35%
Draws
30%
Caravaca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Caravaca have managed 0.93 goals a game lately — Muleno CF are scoring more at 1.03.
  • Model gives Caravaca a 30% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Muleno CF Clean Sheet 23%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muleno CF Caravaca
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 12 12
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Muleno CF vs Caravaca
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Muleno CF
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Muleno CF vs Caravaca
1:1
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Muleno CF
2:0
Mar 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Muleno CF vs Caravaca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muleno CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Esquinas Herrera A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Caravaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Morete
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muleno CF 24 / 100
Caravaca 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muleno CF Caravaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muleno CF's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Caravaca let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Muleno CF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Muleno CF VS Caravaca
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Muleno CF

(Home)
10 May
Muleno CF
1 : 6
Ciudad Cieza
03 May
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
Muleno CF
26 Apr
Bala Azul
3 : 4
Muleno CF
19 Apr
Muleno CF
1 : 1
Mazarron FC
12 Apr
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 1
Muleno CF
Page 1 of 6

Caravaca

(Away)
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0
Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1
Caravaca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)