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Muleno CF vs Ciudad de Murcia

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Muleno CF play Ciudad de Murcia in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Muleno CF averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. Ciudad de Murcia averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Muleno CF won 2, Ciudad de Murcia won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 14, 2024 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Muleno CF and 1.25 for Ciudad de Murcia. This points to a Muleno CF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Muleno CF
35%
Draws
29%
Ciudad de Murcia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Muleno CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Muleno CF picked up more points recently compared to Ciudad de Murcia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Muleno CF Clean Sheet 19%
Ciudad de Murcia Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muleno CF Ciudad de Murcia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 13 8
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Muleno CF vs Ciudad de Murcia
4:1
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Muleno CF
1:1
Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad de Murcia vs Muleno CF
1:0
Nov 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Muleno CF vs Ciudad de Murcia
2:0
Mar 10, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Muleno CF vs Ciudad de Murcia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muleno CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Campos S. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Almagro J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ciudad de Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Vera D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muleno CF 36 / 100
Ciudad de Murcia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muleno CF Ciudad de Murcia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Muleno CF or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.9%
3.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Muleno CF attacking → ← attacking Ciudad de Murcia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muleno CF scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Ciudad de Murcia let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Muleno CF went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ciudad de Murcia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 26
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportiva Minera34246453:1978
2Real Murcia B34208667:3368
3Ciudad Cieza341911444:2468
4UCAM Murcia B341951042:2462
5Caravaca34187960:3261
6Lorca Deportiva34178964:3059
7Molinense341851160:3459
8CA Pulpileno341313839:2352
9Muleno CF341271537:4243
10Racing Murcia341171636:5140
11Plus Ultra341222043:5638
12E.G. El Palmar34991633:5236
13Bullense341061840:6536
14Balsicas Atletico34991635:5336
15Alcantarilla341061834:4136
16Ciudad de Murcia34791828:4330
17CD Algar34781931:6529
18Montecasillas34722531:9023