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Stadium Background

Muleno CF vs Ciudad Lorca

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2007/2008 game between Muleno CF and Ciudad Lorca finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Muleno CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Muleno CF
30%
Draws
0%
Ciudad Lorca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Muleno CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Muleno CF come out ahead of Ciudad Lorca on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Muleno CF taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Muleno CF have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Muleno CF Clean Sheet 19%
Ciudad Lorca Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muleno CF Ciudad Lorca
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 10 3
Draws 12 2
Losses 14 28
Goals Scored 1.17 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.56 4.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Muleno CF vs Ciudad Lorca
4:0
Sep 6, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Muleno CF
3:0
Feb 17, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Muleno CF vs Ciudad Lorca
3:1
Sep 29, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Ciudad Lorca vs Muleno CF
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muleno CF 85 / 100
Ciudad Lorca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muleno CF Ciudad Lorca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muleno CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciudad Lorca let in goals in 91% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Ciudad Lorca has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Muleno CF scored in 67% of their last 36 games.

Scoring Trends

Muleno CF VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Muleno CF

(Home)
10 May
Muleno CF
1 : 6
Ciudad Cieza
03 May
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
Muleno CF
26 Apr
Bala Azul
3 : 4
Muleno CF
19 Apr
Muleno CF
1 : 1
Mazarron FC
12 Apr
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 1
Muleno CF
Page 1 of 8

Ciudad Lorca

(Away)
17 May
CA Pulpileno
3 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
09 May
Ciudad Lorca
0 : 8
Deportivo Murcia
01 May
CD Lumbreras
2 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
25 Apr
Ciudad Lorca
2 : 7
Moratalla
18 Apr
Mazarron FC
11 : 0
Ciudad Lorca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad de Lorqu 38 28 9 1 84:29 93
2 Sangonera 38 22 13 3 78:34 79
3 Real Murcia B 38 24 7 7 75:30 79
4 Caravaca 38 22 10 6 93:38 76
5 Pinatar 38 21 12 5 90:38 75
6 Calasparra FC 38 18 11 9 62:45 65
7 Cartagena La Union 38 16 14 8 55:39 62
8 Agrupacion Deportiva Las Palas 38 16 12 10 60:44 60
9 Moratalla 38 17 8 13 56:41 59
10 Ciudad Cieza 38 15 10 13 66:61 55
11 Santomera 38 14 11 13 46:44 53
12 Yeclano 38 14 7 17 62:54 49
13 Muleno CF 38 14 3 21 43:64 45
14 Futbol Club Jumilla 38 10 9 19 45:66 39
15 Lorca Deportiva II 38 11 4 23 39:53 37
16 Ciudad Lorca 38 10 4 24 50:98 34
17 Bala Azul 38 8 9 21 42:71 33
18 Club Olimpico de Totana 38 8 5 25 41:91 29
19 CD Alquerias 38 5 7 26 27:83 22
20 Ad Ceuti Atletico 38 4 1 33 25:116 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2007/2008 (Main)