Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mulgi vs Ambla

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Teiss H.
41' Event
Homin E.
70' Event
Joendi E.

AI Match Summary

Ambla in this Estonian Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mulgi
15%
Draws
57%
Ambla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ambla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ambla have won more games recently than Mulgi.
  • Win probability leans Ambla's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Ambla arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ambla, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Mulgi Clean Sheet 10%
Ambla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mulgi Ambla
Matches Played 5 12
Wins 1 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 0.8 1.75
Goals Conceded 7.2 5.67
Expected Goals (xG) 3.65 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2018 Estonian Cup
Mulgi vs Ambla
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mulgi Compare

Top Goalscorer Teiss H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.81
Avg xA / game 1.82

Ambla Compare

Top Goalscorer Homin E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joendi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mulgi 10 / 100
Ambla 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mulgi Ambla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ambla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ambla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 12 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ambla's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Mulgi's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 4 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mulgi VS Ambla
0.8 Goals Scored 1.88
7.2 Goals Conceded 6.5
60% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 100%
40% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Mulgi

(Home)
09 Jul
Mulgi
:
FC Tallinn
25 Jul
Kalju
32 : 0
Mulgi
26 Jun
Mulgi
3 : 1
JK 32. keskkool
13 Jun
Mulgi
0 : 1
Tallinna Wolves
12 Jun
Mulgi
1 : 2
Ambla

Ambla

(Away)
18 Jul
Ambla
1 : 6
Viimsi JK
12 Jun
Mulgi
1 : 2
Ambla
26 Jul
Ambla
1 : 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu
24 Jul
Ambla
2 : 5
Torva JK
07 Jun
Castovanni Eagles 2
0 : 4
Ambla
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Narva -
TBD -
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 3
Imavere Forss 4
Tallinna Depoo -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 0
Kadrina SK Moe 3
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
TBD -
Helios II -
Otepaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Jogeva -
Laanemaa Haapsalu 4
Tallinna Kalev III 3
TBD -
Kalju III -
Kohtla-Nomme 3
TransferWise 2
TBD -
Teleios -
Sillamae Kalev -
TBD -
Jogeva Wolves 3
Tulevik Viljandi II 4
Pohja-Tallinna 2 9
Puhkus Mehhikos 2
Tulevik 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Tabasalu 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21 0
TBD -
Lelle -
Raasiku Joker -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Poseidon -
Kose -
TBD -
Viimsi Lovid 2
Koeru 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 10
Tallinna Wolves 0
TBD -
Zenit Tallinn -
Viimsi JK 2 3
JK Poseidon II 0
TBD -
Maksatransport -
Igiliikur 5
FC Ararat 4
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II -
Viimsi JK -
TBD -
Mulgi 1
Ambla 2
Eston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Elva -
Kalju -
TBD -
Anija 1
Sillamae 2
Vaimastvere SK Illi 8
Raudteetoolised 0
FC Lootos Polva 0
Kuressaare 22
Santos Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Vastseliina Tannem -
Rumori Calcio 3
Raplamaa 0
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev -
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos -
Maardu United -
TBD -
TBD -
Aksi Wolves -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
TBD -
Mauruse Saurused 2
Maardu United II 21
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Torva JK 1
Pohja-Tallinna 0
Tammeka Tartu 3
Paide Linnameeskond -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna JK Augur -
Kadakas -
TBD -
Kohila 1
Paide Linnameeskond II 6
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Loo JK 1
FC Tallinn -
Molycorp Silmet -
Rakvere -
TBD -
Pohja-Sakala 1
Legion 3
Flora 16
Olympic Tallinn 0
TBD -
Helios -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
TBD -
Viking 1
Valga Warrior 5
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora U19 -
Nomme Utd -
TBD -
Soccernet 0
Levadia 12
1/32-finals
Narva 10
Imavere Forss 0
Tallinna Depoo 0
Kadrina SK Moe 2
Tallinn Piraaja 7
Helios II 0
Otepaa 3
Jogeva 7
Laanemaa Haapsalu 6
Kalju III 0
Kohtla-Nomme 1
Teleios 4
Sillamae Kalev 4
Tulevik Viljandi II 2
Pohja-Tallinna 2 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Tabasalu 6
Lelle 0
Raasiku Joker 4
JK Poseidon 5
Kose -
Koeru -
Marjamaa Kompanii 3
Zenit Tallinn 4
Viimsi JK 2 3
Maksatransport 2
Igiliikur 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Viimsi JK 6
Ambla 1
Eston Villa 0
Elva 4
Kalju 16
Sillamae 0
Vaimastvere SK Illi 0
Kuressaare 15
Santos Tartu 5
Vastseliina Tannem 2
Rumori Calcio 1
Tallinna Kalev 8
Jarva-Jaani 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Maardu United -
Aksi Wolves -
Flora Tallinn U21 10
Maardu United II 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Tammeka Tartu 2
Paide Linnameeskond 15
Tallinna JK Augur 1
Kadakas 4
Paide Linnameeskond II 10
Parnu JK Vaprus 2
Molycorp Silmet 1
Rakvere 0
Legion 3
Flora 13
Helios 0
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Valga Warrior 7
Tartu JK Welco 1
Flora U19 0
Nomme Utd 1
Levadia 4
1/16-finals
Narva 7
Kadrina SK Moe 0
Tallinn Piraaja 3
Jogeva 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu 14
Teleios 1
Sillamae Kalev 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Tabasalu 3
JK Poseidon 0
Kose 2
Zenit Tallinn 4
Viimsi JK 2 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 2
Viimsi JK 2
Elva 3
Kalju 3
Kuressaare 2
Santos Tartu 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Jarva-Jaani 5
Aksi Wolves 0
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Paide Linnameeskond II 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Legion 3
Flora 13
Valga Warrior 0
Tartu JK Welco 0
Levadia 5
1/8-finals
Narva 8
Jogeva 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Tabasalu 6
Zenit Tallinn 1
Viimsi JK 2 0
Elva 3
Kalju 3
Tallinna Kalev 0
Jarva-Jaani 0
Tammeka Tartu 6
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Legion 1
Flora 1
Levadia 2
Quarter-finals
Narva 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Tabasalu 1
Elva 5
Kalju 2
Tammeka Tartu 1
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Levadia 4
Semi-finals
Narva 5
Elva 0
Kalju 3
Levadia 2
Final
Narva 2
Kalju 1