Sport Picks
Match Events
43'
43'
Mattummal A.
45'
45'
Partap Singh V.
65'
65'
Stewart G.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-1, with Mumbai City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mumbai City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mumbai City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Mumbai City a 46% chance of winning this.
- Mumbai City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mumbai City, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Mumbai City Clean Sheet 20%
Indian Navy Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mumbai City | Indian Navy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 23 |
| Wins | 16 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.84 | 1.91 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2023 Durand Cup
Mumbai City vs Indian Navy
4:0
Aug 18, 2022 Durand Cup
Mumbai City vs Indian Navy
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mumbai City Compare
Top Goalscorer Chhangte L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Partap Singh V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Indian Navy Compare
Top Goalscorer Mattummal A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mumbai City 49 / 100
Indian Navy 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mumbai City Indian Navy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mumbai City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Indian Navy has conceded goals in 87% of their last 23 outings.
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Mumbai City found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).
Recent resilience: Mumbai City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mumbai City VS Indian Navy
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mumbai City
(Home) 21 May
Minerva Punjab
0 : 2 Mumbai City
15 May
Mohammedan
0 : 4 Mumbai City
05 May
Mumbai City
1 : 2 East Bengal
25 Apr
Bengaluru FC
0 : 0 Mumbai City
18 Apr
FC Goa
2 : 0 Mumbai City
Page 1 of 7
05 May
Mumbai City
1 : 2 East Bengal
05 Apr
Mumbai City
1 : 0 Odisha FC
08 Mar
Mumbai City
2 : 2 SC Delhi
01 Mar
Mumbai City
1 : 1 North East United
19 Feb
Mumbai City
1 : 0 Chennaiyin FC
Page 1 of 3
Indian Navy
(Away) 09 Aug
TRAU FC
2 : 1 Indian Navy
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2 Indian Navy
30 Jul
Raengdai
1 : 0 Indian Navy
16 Aug
Lajong
2 : 1 Indian Navy
12 Aug
TRAU FC
1 : 2 Indian Navy
Page 1 of 5
09 Aug
TRAU FC
2 : 1 Indian Navy
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2 Indian Navy
30 Jul
Raengdai
1 : 0 Indian Navy
16 Aug
Lajong
2 : 1 Indian Navy
12 Aug
TRAU FC
1 : 2 Indian Navy
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohammedan | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Bengaluru FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Jamshedpur | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Goa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Indian Air Force (New Delhi) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mumbai City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 7 |
| 2 | Mohun Bagan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Rajasthan United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 4 | East Bengal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Indian Navy | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hyderabad | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Chennaiyin FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Army Red | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 4 | NEROCA | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 5 | TRAU FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2022 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odisha FC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:0 | 12 |
| 2 | Kerala Blasters | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Army Green | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 4 | North East United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:12 | 3 |
| 5 | Sudeva Delhi | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:6 | 2 |
Promotion - Durand Cup 2022 (Play Offs)
