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Mumbai City vs Kerala Blasters Prediction & H2H Stats

India India

Super Cup Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda), Margao
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Singh S.
45'
Singh S.
45'
Singh S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mumbai City
20%
Draws
52%
Kerala Blasters
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kerala Blasters

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Mumbai City have won more games recently than Kerala Blasters.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Mumbai City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mumbai City, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Mumbai City Clean Sheet 22%
Kerala Blasters Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mumbai City Kerala Blasters
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 ISL
Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City
0:1
Nov 6, 2025 Super Cup
Mumbai City vs Kerala Blasters
1:0
Mar 7, 2025 ISL
Kerala Blasters vs Mumbai City
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 ISL
Mumbai City vs Kerala Blasters
4:2
Aug 1, 2024 Durand Cup
Mumbai City vs Kerala Blasters
0:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mumbai City 32 / 100
Kerala Blasters 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mumbai City Kerala Blasters

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kerala Blasters Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Mumbai City found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Kerala Blasters conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Mumbai City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mumbai City VS Kerala Blasters
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mumbai City

(Home)
21 May
Minerva Punjab
0 : 2
Mumbai City
15 May
Mohammedan
0 : 4
Mumbai City
05 May
Mumbai City
1 : 2
East Bengal
25 Apr
Bengaluru FC
0 : 0
Mumbai City
18 Apr
FC Goa
2 : 0
Mumbai City
Page 1 of 6

Kerala Blasters

(Away)
18 May
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1
FC Goa
10 May
Kerala Blasters
3 : 1
Mohammedan
23 Apr
Kerala Blasters
2 : 1
Odisha FC
18 Apr
Kerala Blasters
2 : 0
Jamshedpur
15 Apr
Kerala Blasters
1 : 1
North East United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
2 Mohun Bagan 3 1 2 0 2:0 5
3 Dempo 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
4 Chennaiyin FC 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Goa 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
2 North East United 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
3 Jamshedpur 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Inter Kashi 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minerva Punjab 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Bengaluru FC 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Gokulam 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Mohammedan 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mumbai City 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
2 Kerala Blasters 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Rajasthan United 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 SC Delhi 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)