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Mumbay FC vs Samaleswari SC

India India

I-League 3
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Ananthraj N. K.
42' Event
Sarkar S.
57' Event
Ram S.

AI Match Summary

The I-League 3 game between Mumbay FC and Samaleswari SC finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samaleswari SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mumbay FC
33%
Draws
40%
Samaleswari SC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Samaleswari SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samaleswari SC come out ahead of Mumbay FC on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Samaleswari SC taking it.
  • Regular I-League 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Mumbay FC Clean Sheet 10%
Samaleswari SC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mumbay FC Samaleswari SC
Matches Played 4 4
Wins 0 2
Draws 2 0
Losses 2 2
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 I-League 3
Mumbay FC vs Samaleswari SC
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mumbay FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghosh S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Samaleswari SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarkar S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ram S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mumbay FC 26 / 100
Samaleswari SC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mumbay FC Samaleswari SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Mumbay FC found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (4 games).

Samaleswari SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 4 matches.

Solid form: Mumbay FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mumbay FC VS Samaleswari SC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sunrise Club430110:59
2Raengdai42116:37
3Mawlai SC41216:65
4Ara41126:94
5Sikkim Brotherhood41036:113
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1TRAU FC43107:310
2Samaleswari SC42026:56
3Zinc FA41217:65
4CD Salgaocar41122:44
5Mumbay FC40225:92
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KLASA33005:19
2Chhaygaon32016:16
3Diamond Rock31023:63
4Citadel Godavari Legends30030:60
5Kuppuraj00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Baghpat431015:310
2Agniputhra42115:27
3New Friends42025:126
4Royal Rangers42027:76
5Techtro Swades40042:100