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Munich 1860 vs Holstein Kiel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal Grünwalder Stadion, Munich
Munich 1860 Logo

Munich 1860

0 - 2
FT
Holstein Kiel Logo

Holstein Kiel

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Dressel D.
20'
Therkelsen J.
34' Event
Harres P.
Assist: Kapralik A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Munich 1860
20%
Draws
33%
Holstein Kiel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Munich 1860

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Holstein Kiel have managed 1.5 goals a game lately — Munich 1860 are scoring more at 1.75.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Munich 1860 taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Holstein Kiel, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Munich 1860 Clean Sheet 20%
Holstein Kiel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Munich 1860 Holstein Kiel
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 DFB Pokal
Munich 1860 vs Holstein Kiel
0:2
Aug 19, 2018 DFB Pokal
Munich 1860 vs Holstein Kiel
1:3
Jun 2, 2015 2. Bundesliga
Munich 1860 vs Holstein Kiel
2:1
May 29, 2015 2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Munich 1860
0:0
Aug 17, 2014 DFB Pokal
Holstein Kiel vs Munich 1860
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Munich 1860 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Holstein Kiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Harres P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balzi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Munich 1860 42 / 100
Holstein Kiel 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Munich 1860 Holstein Kiel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Munich 1860 scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Holstein Kiel conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Munich 1860 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Munich 1860 VS Holstein Kiel
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Munich 1860

(Home)
30 Oct
Munich 1860
4 : 3
Buchbach
25 Oct
Vfb Eichstatt
0 : 2
Munich 1860
18 Oct
Munich 1860
2 : 4
Bayern II
13 Oct
Munich 1860
2 : 1
Bayreuth
10 Oct
Illertissen
1 : 1
Munich 1860
Page 1 of 6

Holstein Kiel

(Away)
01 Nov
Greuther Furth
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
28 Oct
Holstein Kiel
2 : 1
Hoffenheim
25 Oct
Holstein Kiel
3 : 0
Dresden
16 Oct
Holstein Kiel
0 : 0
Hertha Berlin
09 Oct
Braunschweig
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Wehen 0
Bayer Leverkusen 4
FC Viktoria Koln 1
Nurnberg 2
RW Essen 2
St. Pauli 0
Eintracht Trier 0
RB Leipzig 6
Schott Mainz 0
B. Monchengladbach 5
Preussen Munster 1
Karlsruher 2
Duisburg 1
Elversberg 3
Jena 1
Darmstadt 2
Phonix Lubeck 2
Paderborn 4
Hansa Rostock 0
VfB Stuttgart 4
Westfalia Rhynern 0
Dresden 6
Hallescher 2
Schalke 5
Munich 1860 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Aue 0
Hoffenheim 4
Wurzburger Kickers 1
1. FC Koln 2
Braunschweig 2
Union Berlin 4
Greuther Furth 1
Bochum 2
Krieschow 0
Mainz 9
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3
Arminia Bielefeld 2
Energie Cottbus 0
Augsburg 2
Verl 0
Hamburger 3
SC St.Tonis 0
Eintracht Frankfurt 11
HEBC Hamburg 0
Dortmund 5
Luneburger Hansa 0
Werder Bremen 3
Hemelingen 1
Hannover 9
Mannheim 0
Kaiserslautern 1
Dusseldorf 1
Freiburg 5
Altglienicke 3
Wolfsburg 4
VfL Osnabruck 1
Bayern Munich 4
Bahlinger 0
Magdeburg 4
Jeddeloh 5
Heidenheim 2
Saarbrucken 1
Hertha Berlin 2
1/16-finals
Bayer Leverkusen 5
Nurnberg 2
RW Essen 1
RB Leipzig 2
B. Monchengladbach 2
Karlsruher 0
Elversberg 0
Darmstadt 2
Paderborn 0
VfB Stuttgart 1
Dresden 2
Schalke 0
Holstein Kiel 2
Hoffenheim 1
1. FC Koln 5
Union Berlin 0
Bochum 2
Mainz 0
Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2
Augsburg 4
Hamburger 1
Eintracht Frankfurt 3
Dortmund 3
Werder Bremen 2
Hannover 0
Kaiserslautern 2
Freiburg 3
Wolfsburg 2
Bayern Munich 6
Magdeburg 1
Jeddeloh 0
Hertha Berlin 2
1/8-finals
Bayer Leverkusen -
RB Leipzig -
B. Monchengladbach -
Darmstadt -
VfB Stuttgart -
Dresden -
Holstein Kiel -
1. FC Koln -
Bochum -
Augsburg -
Eintracht Frankfurt -
Dortmund -
Kaiserslautern -
Freiburg -
Bayern Munich -
Hertha Berlin -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -