Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Municipal de Tarija vs Pucarani

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Copa Simon Bolivar game between Municipal de Tarija and Pucarani finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Municipal de Tarija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Municipal de Tarija
28%
Draws
22%
Pucarani
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Municipal de Tarija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Pucarani haven't matched Municipal de Tarija's recent run of results.
  • Municipal de Tarija are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Municipal de Tarija Clean Sheet 16%
Pucarani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal de Tarija Pucarani
Matches Played 24 8
Wins 13 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Municipal de Tarija vs Pucarani
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Pucarani vs Municipal de Tarija
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal de Tarija 48 / 100
Pucarani 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal de Tarija Pucarani

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MDT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Municipal de Tarija's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pucarani conceded in 88% of 8 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Municipal de Tarija stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Municipal de Tarija VS Pucarani
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

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2Olympic FC62319:39
3CD Ingenio62229:118
4Chaco FC60337:183
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
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3Libertad FC62046:146
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PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tiquipaya651018:516
2Municipal de Tarija631216:910
3Pucarani630311:69
4Universitario de Pando60066:310