Sport Picks

Municipal de Tarija vs Pucarani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar 2025

Municipal de Tarija

1 - 0

Pucarani

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Municipal de Tarija advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Municipal de Tarija

20%

Draws

29%

Pucarani

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Municipal de Tarija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Pucarani haven't matched Municipal de Tarija's recent run of results.
Municipal de Tarija are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Municipal de Tarija have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Municipal de Tarija, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Municipal de Tarija Clean Sheet 16%

Pucarani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Municipal de Tarija	Pucarani
Matches Played	24	8
Wins	13	3
Draws	4	1
Losses	7	4
Goals Scored	2.08	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.29	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar

Municipal de Tarija vs Pucarani

1:0

Aug 23, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar

Pucarani vs Municipal de Tarija

2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal de Tarija 48 / 100

Pucarani 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Municipal de Tarija Pucarani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Municipal de Tarija Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Municipal de Tarija's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Pucarani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 8 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Municipal de Tarija has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Municipal de Tarija VS Pucarani

2 Goals Scored 1.5

1.38 Goals Conceded 1

75% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Municipal de Tarija

(Home)

25 Oct

Municipal de Tarija

0 : 3

Nueva Cliza

11 Oct

Nueva Cliza

3 : 1

Municipal de Tarija

27 Sept

Municipal de Tarija

1 : 0

Pucarani

20 Sept

Municipal de Tarija

8 : 0

Universitario de Pando

13 Sept

Tiquipaya

2 : 2

Municipal de Tarija

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Pucarani

(Away)

26 Oct

Rio San Juan

1 : 1

Pucarani

11 Oct

Pucarani

0 : 1

Rio San Juan

27 Sept

Municipal de Tarija

1 : 0

Pucarani

20 Sept

Pucarani

1 : 2

Tiquipaya

13 Sept

Pucarani

7 : 1

Universitario de Pando

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