Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Nacional B 2023 game between Municipal de Tarija and Sur-Car finished 7-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Municipal de Tarija.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Municipal de Tarija
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Municipal de Tarija carry the better recent record into this one.
- Municipal de Tarija are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Nacional B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Municipal de Tarija Clean Sheet 20%
Sur-Car Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Municipal de Tarija | Sur-Car |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.63 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 2.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 2.80 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 28, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Municipal de Tarija vs Sur-Car
7:3
Oct 8, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Sur-Car vs Municipal de Tarija
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Municipal de Tarija 85 / 100
Sur-Car 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Municipal de Tarija Sur-Car
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MDT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Municipal de Tarija scored in 83% of their last 24 games.
Defensive concern: Sur-Car conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Municipal de Tarija remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Municipal de Tarija VS Sur-Car
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.8
75% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
Municipal de Tarija
(Home) 25 Oct
Municipal de Tarija
0 : 3 Nueva Cliza
11 Oct
Nueva Cliza
3 : 1 Municipal de Tarija
27 Sept
Municipal de Tarija
1 : 0 Pucarani
20 Sept
Municipal de Tarija
8 : 0 Universitario de Pando
13 Sept
Tiquipaya
2 : 2 Municipal de Tarija
Page 1 of 5
25 Oct
Municipal de Tarija
0 : 3 Nueva Cliza
27 Sept
Municipal de Tarija
1 : 0 Pucarani
20 Sept
Municipal de Tarija
8 : 0 Universitario de Pando
30 Aug
Municipal de Tarija
0 : 2 Tiquipaya
17 Nov
Municipal de Tarija
2 : 2 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Page 1 of 3
Sur-Car
(Away) 28 Oct
Municipal de Tarija
7 : 3 Sur-Car
22 Oct
Sur-Car
1 : 4 Fatic
08 Oct
Sur-Car
1 : 1 Municipal de Tarija
01 Oct
Fatic
2 : 0 Sur-Car
08 Jul
GV San Jose
1 : 1 Sur-Car
Page 1 of 7
28 Oct
Municipal de Tarija
7 : 3 Sur-Car
01 Oct
Fatic
2 : 0 Sur-Car
08 Jul
GV San Jose
1 : 1 Sur-Car
25 Jun
Real Oruro
2 : 4 Sur-Car
28 May
Em Huanuni
3 : 4 Sur-Car
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Potosi | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Nacional Sucre | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Hiska Nacional | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Mizque | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 2 | Universitario de Pando | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 3 | Stormers SL | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 3 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GV San Jose | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Real Oruro | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Municipalidad de Yacuiba | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Torre Fuerte | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Pasion Celeste | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 3 | Fancesa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 4 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Atletico Bermejo | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 3 | San Lorenzo del Beni | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:25 | 0 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Municipal de Tarija | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Fatic | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Sur-Car | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:14 | 1 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 de Septiembre | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 2 | Universitario Beni | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Real Mapajo | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Deportivo Aleman | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 5 |
| 3 | Academia del Balompie | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | 1 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)