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Stadium Background

Municipal Limeno vs Metapan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Argueta J. C.
57' Event
Ferman J.
80' Event
Machado G.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Municipal Limeno and Metapan finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Municipal Limeno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Municipal Limeno
15%
Draws
69%
Metapan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metapan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Municipal Limeno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Metapan's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Municipal Limeno Clean Sheet 20%
Metapan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal Limeno Metapan
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Metapan
3:1
Mar 22, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Municipal Limeno
1:0
Jan 25, 2026 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Metapan
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Primera Division
Metapan vs Municipal Limeno
3:2
Aug 28, 2025 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Metapan
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Municipal Limeno Compare

Top Goalscorer Argueta J. C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferman J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Metapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal Limeno 28 / 100
Metapan 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal Limeno Metapan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metapan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Municipal Limeno found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Metapan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Municipal Limeno stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Municipal Limeno VS Metapan
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Municipal Limeno

(Home)
04 Oct
Platense Municipal
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
02 Oct
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
27 Sept
Municipal Limeno
1 : 3
FAS
20 Sept
Alianza FC
3 : 2
Municipal Limeno
13 Sept
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 2
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

Metapan

(Away)
03 Oct
Metapan
3 : 2
Atletico Balboa
27 Sept
Metapan
2 : 0
Cacahuatique
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Metapan
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2
Metapan
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2
Metapan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 13 8 3 2 24:12 27
2 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
3 Luis Angel Firpo 13 7 4 2 23:9 25
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Platense Municipal 15 5 4 6 19:20 19
7 Alianza FC 13 4 6 3 20:19 18
8 Municipal Limeno 14 5 2 7 19:19 17
9 Inca Aruba 15 4 4 7 13:27 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Fuerte San Francisco 15 2 6 7 11:24 12
12 Cacahuatique 15 2 5 8 15:26 11
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)