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Municipal Turrialba vs Santa Cruz

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Sun, Nov 16, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Municipal Turrialba host Santa Cruz in the Liga de Ascenso. Municipal Turrialba are expected to control this from the start. Santa Cruz have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Municipal Turrialba have conceded 0 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Municipal Turrialba slightly — 0-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Municipal Turrialba. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Municipal Turrialba
39%
Draws
31%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Municipal Turrialba Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal Turrialba Santa Cruz
Matches Played 10 26
Wins 5 6
Draws 3 9
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Municipal Turrialba
0:0
Feb 25, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Municipal Turrialba vs Santa Cruz
0:0
Nov 16, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Municipal Turrialba vs Santa Cruz
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Municipal Turrialba
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal Turrialba 31 / 100
Santa Cruz 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal Turrialba Santa Cruz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Santa Cruz's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Municipal Turrialba VS Santa Cruz
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter San Carlos1493222:1230
2ADR Jicaral1475223:1126
3Quepos Cambute1455418:1720
4Cofutpa1453623:2418
5AD Sarchi1446415:1718
6Dep. Upala1444622:2316
7Santa Cruz1434710:2013
8Grecia1432922:3111
9Municipal Turrialba00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Escorpiones1494131:1831
2Consultants Desamparados1474325:1825
3Cariari Pococi1446425:1818
4Carmelita1446414:1418
5Santa Ana1446416:1718
6CS Uruguay1435615:2414
7Pitbulls1426610:1512
8Aserri1433811:2312
9Limon Black Star00000:00