Sport Picks
Municipal vs Aurora F.C.
Guatemala
Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Municipal and Aurora F.C. finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Municipal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Municipal come out ahead of Aurora F.C. on wins alone.
- Municipal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Municipal | Aurora F.C. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 22 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.14 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 1.29 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Municipal Compare
Aurora F.C. Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Municipal found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (34 games).
Municipal has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Aurora F.C. has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Municipal
(Home)Aurora F.C.
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xelaju | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 34:19 | 39 |
| 2 | Municipal | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 32:21 | 38 |
| 3 | Deportivo Mixco | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 30:26 | 36 |
| 4 | Comunicaciones | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 28:26 | 35 |
| 5 | Antigua | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34:29 | 34 |
| 6 | Coban Imperial | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29:22 | 32 |
| 7 | Guastatoya | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29:21 | 31 |
| 8 | Marquense | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 25:29 | 30 |
| 9 | Mictlan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:36 | 27 |
| 10 | Malacateco | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19:25 | 22 |
| 11 | Aurora F.C. | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 14:30 | 20 |
| 12 | Deportivo Achuapa | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 17:32 | 19 |