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Municipal vs Guastatoya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Municipal host Guastatoya in the Liga Nacional. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Municipal at 1.67 goals for, 0.48 against; Guastatoya at 1.39 for, 1.11 against. Head-to-head, Municipal have won 3 to Guastatoya's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.13) point toward Municipal. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Municipal
35%
Draws
38%
Guastatoya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guastatoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Municipal lately — more wins on the board than Guastatoya.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Municipal taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Municipal Clean Sheet 20%
Guastatoya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal Guastatoya
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 22 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.48 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Municipal
1:0
May 3, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Guastatoya
2:0
May 1, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Municipal
0:1
Mar 22, 2026 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Municipal
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Guastatoya
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal 42 / 100
Guastatoya 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal Guastatoya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Municipal's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Solid form: Municipal remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Guastatoya has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Municipal VS Guastatoya
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Municipal

(Home)
09 Oct
Antigua
1 : 1
Municipal
25 Sept
Municipal
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
06 Sept
Municipal
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
Page 1 of 7

Guastatoya

(Away)
04 Oct
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Aurora F.C.
26 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Deportivo San Pedro
19 Sept
Comunicaciones
1 : 2
Guastatoya
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
10 Sept
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Guastatoya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 12 8 1 3 19:13 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 12 5 3 4 24:14 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
9 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
10 Aurora F.C. 12 4 0 8 17:21 12
11 Malacateco 12 3 3 6 12:19 12
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)