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Municipal vs Iztapa Prediction & H2H Stats

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023 Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Matos Y.
56' Event
Matos Y.
63' Event
Fuentes F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2022/2023 game between Municipal and Iztapa finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Municipal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Municipal
30%
Draws
19%
Iztapa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Municipal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Municipal come out ahead of Iztapa on wins alone.
  • Municipal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Municipal Clean Sheet 20%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal Iztapa
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 24 7
Draws 11 7
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 1.71 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.55 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2023 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Iztapa
4:0
Feb 1, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Municipal
2:2
Oct 9, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Municipal
3:2
Aug 7, 2022 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Iztapa
1:0
Apr 30, 2022 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Iztapa
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Municipal Compare

Top Goalscorer Matos Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Fuentes F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Iztapa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal 85 / 100
Iztapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal Iztapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Municipal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Municipal found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (38 games).

Iztapa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: Municipal remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Municipal VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Municipal

(Home)
25 Sept
Municipal
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
06 Sept
Municipal
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
30 Aug
Comunicaciones
0 : 1
Municipal
Page 1 of 8

Iztapa

(Away)
07 May
Deportivo Achuapa
5 : 3
Iztapa
03 May
Municipal
4 : 0
Iztapa
30 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 0
Santa Lucia
23 Apr
Guastatoya
1 : 1
Iztapa
19 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 5
Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comunicaciones 22 12 9 1 37:16 45
2 Municipal 22 13 4 5 44:21 43
3 Xelaju 22 12 7 3 31:9 43
4 Xinabajul 22 8 7 7 27:29 31
5 Guastatoya 22 7 8 7 28:22 29
6 Deportivo Mixco 22 7 8 7 23:24 29
7 Antigua 22 8 5 9 33:37 29
8 Deportivo Achuapa 22 7 5 10 24:44 26
9 Coban Imperial 22 6 7 9 16:17 25
10 Iztapa 22 5 5 12 30:49 20
11 Malacateco 22 4 7 11 24:33 19
12 Santa Lucia 22 5 4 13 14:30 19
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)