Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Municipal vs Iztapa

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023 Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Matos Y.
56' Event
Matos Y.
63' Event
Fuentes F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2022/2023 game between Municipal and Iztapa finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Municipal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Municipal
6%
Draws
4%
Iztapa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Municipal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Municipal come out ahead of Iztapa on wins alone.
  • Municipal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Municipal Clean Sheet 20%
Iztapa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal Iztapa
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2023 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Iztapa
4:0
Feb 1, 2023 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Municipal
2:2
Oct 9, 2022 Liga Nacional
Iztapa vs Municipal
3:2
Aug 7, 2022 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Iztapa
1:0
Apr 30, 2022 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Iztapa
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Municipal Compare

Top Goalscorer Matos Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Fuentes F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Iztapa Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal 85 / 100
Iztapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal Iztapa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Municipal found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Iztapa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: Municipal remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Municipal VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comunicaciones22129137:1645
2Municipal22134544:2143
3Xelaju22127331:943
4Xinabajul2287727:2931
5Guastatoya2278728:2229
6Deportivo Mixco2278723:2429
7Antigua2285933:3729
8Deportivo Achuapa22751024:4426
9Coban Imperial2267916:1725
10Iztapa22551230:4920
11Malacateco22471124:3319
12Santa Lucia22541314:3019