Sport Picks

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Mura vs O. Ljubljana

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Mestni stadion Fazanerija
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mura play O. Ljubljana in the Prva liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mura averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.85 conceded. O. Ljubljana averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. In past meetings, Mura won 0, O. Ljubljana won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Mura and 1.69 for O. Ljubljana. This points to a O. Ljubljana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Mura
24%
Draws
52%
O. Ljubljana
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: O. Ljubljana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Mura picked up more points recently compared to O. Ljubljana.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Mura Clean Sheet 13%
O. Ljubljana Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mura O. Ljubljana
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.04 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Prva liga
Mura vs O. Ljubljana
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Mura
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Prva liga
Mura vs O. Ljubljana
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Mura
1:0
May 10, 2025 Prva liga
Mura vs O. Ljubljana
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mura 24 / 100
O. Ljubljana 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mura O. Ljubljana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: O. Ljubljana or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mura attacking → ← attacking O. Ljubljana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mura scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

O. Ljubljana let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Mura went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

O. Ljubljana lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 44
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25