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Mura vs Aluminij - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Mestni stadion Fazanerija, Murska Sobota
Mura Logo

Mura

1 - 6
FT
Aluminij Logo

Aluminij

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ramsak R.
Assist: Susso B.
15'
Kurtovic K.
24'
Zajsek D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aluminij in this Prva liga matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aluminij.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Mura
35%
Draws
49%
Aluminij
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aluminij

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Mura average 1.04 goals a game right now, well clear of Aluminij's 0.93.
  • Win probability leans Aluminij's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Mura Clean Sheet 13%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mura Aluminij
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 6 6
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.04 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Prva liga
Mura vs Aluminij
1:6
Apr 16, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Mura
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Prva liga
Mura vs Aluminij
0:3
Oct 17, 2025 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Mura
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 Prva liga
Mura vs Aluminij
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mura Compare

Top Goalscorer Matic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Aluminij Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramsak R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simunic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mura 10 / 100
Aluminij 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mura Aluminij

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aluminij Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Mura scored in 68% of their last 25 outings.

Aluminij let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Mura remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mura VS Aluminij
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mura

(Home)
20 Sept
Mura
0 : 0
Celje
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6
Aluminij
06 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
Mura
29 Aug
Bravo
2 : 0
Mura
22 Aug
Mura
0 : 1
Koper
Page 1 of 5

Aluminij

(Away)
02 Oct
Aluminij
0 : 0
Varazdin
19 Sept
Maribor
2 : 2
Aluminij
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6
Aluminij
05 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 0
Bravo
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2
Celje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 19:8 20
2 Koper 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Bravo 10 5 3 2 12:10 18
4 O. Ljubljana 10 4 2 4 10:8 14
5 Aluminij 10 3 4 3 16:11 13
6 Nafta 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
7 Celje 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
8 Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
9 Mura 10 2 3 5 10:21 9
10 Radomlje 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)