Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mura vs Celje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Mestni stadion Fazanerija, Murska Sobota
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Jelic I.
15'
Kouter N.
15'
Dukuly Y.

AI Match Summary

The Prva liga game between Mura and Celje finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Mura
35%
Draws
45%
Celje
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Celje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celje come out ahead of Mura on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Celje's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mura Clean Sheet 20%
Celje Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mura Celje
Matches Played 25 31
Wins 4 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Prva liga
Mura vs Celje
0:0
Jul 17, 2026 Prva liga
Celje vs Mura
2:2
Apr 19, 2026 Prva liga
Mura vs Celje
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 Prva liga
Celje vs Mura
5:1
Oct 26, 2025 Prva liga
Mura vs Celje
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mura 20 / 100
Celje 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mura Celje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Celje Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Mura remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Mura scored in 68% of their last 25 outings.

Celje let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Mura VS Celje
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mura

(Home)
01 Nov
Mura
0 : 0
Grosuplje
27 Oct
Radomlje
1 : 1
Mura
17 Oct
Mura
0 : 0
Nafta
10 Oct
O. Ljubljana
3 : 3
Mura
20 Sept
Mura
0 : 0
Celje
Page 1 of 5

Celje

(Away)
05 Nov
Sturm Graz
2 : 3
Celje
01 Nov
Celje
4 : 0
Nafta
28 Oct
O. Ljubljana
1 : 1
Celje
25 Oct
Korotan Prevalje
0 : 2
Celje
22 Oct
Celje
2 : 2
Salzburg
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Koper 14 8 4 2 25:12 28
2 Maribor 14 6 6 2 21:14 24
3 O. Ljubljana 15 6 5 4 17:13 23
4 Bravo 14 5 5 4 15:15 20
5 Celje 13 5 5 3 17:12 20
6 Nafta 15 5 4 6 19:21 19
7 Aluminij 14 4 5 5 21:13 17
8 Mura 14 2 7 5 14:25 13
9 Grosuplje 14 3 4 7 15:25 13
10 Radomlje 13 1 5 7 15:29 8
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)