Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012

Murallas de Ceuta FC

1 - 0

Marinaleda

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Murallas de Ceuta FC in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Murallas de Ceuta FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Murallas de Ceuta FC

40%

Draws

29%

Marinaleda

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Marinaleda lately — more wins on the board than Murallas de Ceuta FC.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Murallas de Ceuta FC Clean Sheet 17%

Marinaleda Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Murallas de Ceuta FC	Marinaleda
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	9
Draws	9	10
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	0.88	1
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Murallas de Ceuta FC vs Marinaleda

Possession: 59% - 45% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Oct 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Marinaleda vs Murallas de Ceuta FC

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

2:2

Jan 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Marinaleda vs Murallas de Ceuta FC

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Sep 12, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 10

Murallas de Ceuta FC vs Marinaleda

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murallas de Ceuta FC 31 / 100

Marinaleda 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Murallas de Ceuta FC Marinaleda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marinaleda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Murallas de Ceuta FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Murallas de Ceuta FC's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Murallas de Ceuta FC VS Marinaleda

0.88 Goals Scored 1

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sanluqueno	38	28	5	5	81:32	89
2	CD San Fernando	38	22	8	8	88:52	74
3	Mairena	38	20	11	7	64:32	71
4	Coria C.F.	38	20	8	10	72:46	68
5	Sevilla C	38	20	6	12	67:46	66
6	Algeciras	38	17	8	13	57:50	59
7	CD Alcala	38	13	18	7	58:52	57
8	Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)	38	16	6	16	59:55	54
9	Cadiz B	38	13	11	14	53:53	50
10	Cordoba B	38	11	12	15	35:37	45
11	Conil	38	11	12	15	47:68	45
12	Pozoblanco	38	10	15	13	47:49	45
13	Antoniano	38	10	13	15	31:45	43
14	San Roque de Cadiz	38	11	9	18	53:67	42
15	Arcos CF	38	9	13	16	45:63	40
16	Portuense	38	8	15	15	41:53	39
17	Ayamonte	38	10	8	20	46:72	38
18	Murallas de Ceuta FC	38	9	11	18	34:51	38
19	Marinaleda	38	9	11	18	39:59	38
20	PD Rociera	38	9	8	21	40:75	35