Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Muranga vs APS Bomet

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Waithira J.
(Penalty)
27' Event
Wasai P.
83' Event
Waithira J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Muranga and APS Bomet finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Muranga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Muranga
15%
Draws
50%
APS Bomet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APS Bomet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Very High Confidence
  • APS Bomet haven't matched Muranga's recent run of results.
  • APS Bomet are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Muranga Clean Sheet 12%
APS Bomet Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muranga APS Bomet
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 0.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Premier League
Muranga vs APS Bomet
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Muranga
0:2
Mar 3, 2023 Super League
APS Bomet vs Muranga
0:0
Jul 24, 2022 Super League
APS Bomet vs Muranga
1:1
Feb 5, 2022 Super League
Muranga vs APS Bomet
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muranga Compare

Top Goalscorer Waithira J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

APS Bomet Compare

Top Goalscorer Wasai P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muranga 19 / 100
APS Bomet 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muranga APS Bomet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muranga's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Muranga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

APS Bomet let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Muranga VS APS Bomet
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Muranga

(Home)
31 May
Muranga
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2
Muranga
17 May
Muranga
1 : 3
Mahia
10 May
Muranga
1 : 0
Kakamega Homeboyz
06 May
Police FC
2 : 1
Muranga
Page 1 of 6

APS Bomet

(Away)
31 May
Tusker
1 : 1
APS Bomet
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2
APS Bomet
10 May
Mathare United
0 : 2
APS Bomet
06 May
APS Bomet
1 : 0
KCB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)