Sport Picks
Muranga vs Mathare United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kenya
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Muranga host Mathare United in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Mathare United have shipped 1.09 goals a game lately, while Muranga have conceded 1.43 and scored 1.39. Head-to-head, Muranga have won 2 to Mathare United's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.50 - 0.44) back Muranga to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Muranga come out ahead of Mathare United on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Muranga's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Muranga | Mathare United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 23 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 0.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Muranga scored in 83% of their last 23 outings.
Mathare United let in goals in 70% of their last 23 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Muranga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Muranga
(Home)Mathare United
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mathare United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ulinzi Stars | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Tusker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Mahia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Leopards | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KCB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Posta Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Bandari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Police FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Migori | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Shabana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | APS Bomet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Muranga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Mombasa United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Mara Sugar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Nairobi United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | 3K FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
